索引
ABC of stock market speculation (1903),《股票市场投机入门》,86,278,
acceleration, 加速
complexity, 复杂性,40
meaning, 意义,286
new investors,新投资者,223
signals,信号,223,226
accumulation,吸筹
meaning,含义,286
price signals,价格信号,85
processes,过程,115,117
Adam Smith “亚当·史密斯”,46,102,125
adaptive attitudes,适应态度
collective decisions,群体决策,90,131
contrast error,对比错误,131
meaning,意义,95,129,286
news slories,新闻故事,135,140
profit- taking,获利回吐,162
social adjustment,适应社会,132
adrenalin,肾上腺,246
advance/decline line,腾落线,169-171,179,286
Advances in Beharioural Finance ( 1993),《行为金融学进展》,92
Aerkes,Hal,哈尔阿克斯,254,277
affect,影响,243
American Association for Humanistic Psychology,美国人本心理学协会,72
American Psychiatric Association,美国精神病学会,67- 70,265
amplification,放大
capital requirements,投资需求,40
self-anplification,自我放大,251
analysis,分析
fundamental,参见fundamental analysis
technical,参见technical analysis
analysts,分析师
excessive optimism,极度乐观,105
reconmendations,建议,推荐,105-106,185,189
anchoring,参照点
cognitive psychology,认知心理学,94
directional anchoring,方向参照点,130
meaning,含义,127,28
panics,恐慌,248
prices,价格,130
trends,趋势,130
Angell,James Rowland,安吉尔,60
animal spirits,动物本性,58,242-247
antisocial personality disorder,反社会人格障碍,68
anxiety,焦虑,66,244,245
arbitrage,套利
index arbitrage,指数套利,169
interest rate arbitrage,利率套利,15,174,176,290
meaning,含义,286
Aristotle,亚里土多德,55,268
Asch, Solomon,阿什,128-129
assimilation error,同化错误,95,133,135,286
attention,注意,71,75,243-244
attitudes,态度
adaprive, 参见adaptive attiludes
changes,变化,改变,246,247
conflicting viewpoints,矛盾的观点,131
consedutences,后果,结果,130-134
ego-defensive,参见ego-defensive
attitudesknowledge,参见knowledge attitudes
needs/wishes,需求/希望,131
self-realizing,自我实现,94,132,293
stability,稳定性,242-243
stress,紧张,压力,247
automaric trading systemst 自动交易系统
computer trading,计算机交易,169,239,287
trading rules,交易原理,87
average calcularion basis,,均线计算基数,154,155
avoldant personality disorder,回避型人格障碍,69,95,265,286
Babsson,Roger Ward,巴布森,20,21,22,24,33,34,131
Babson Charts,巴布森图,20,86
Babson Statistical Organization,巴布森统计组织,20
Babson's Barometer,巴布森晴雨表,20- 22
backtrading,反向交易,143
Bacon,Francis (Sir),培根(爵士),74,268
Bakken,H. H,巴肯,4
balance of payments,贸易收支差额,5
halance volumf,差额成交量,160
Bank of England,英格兰银行,28,176,288
bar charts,meaning,条形图,合义,12,286
Barber,Brad,巴伯,104,106
Baring Securities,巴林证券,122
Barrun's,《拜伦》,23,33,86,110,113
Baruch,,Bernard,巴鲁克,1,46,,137,218
Bathurst,Lord,巴瑟斯特勋爵,99
Battle for Invest ment Survival (1957),集为投资生存而斗争》,9
bear markets,熊市
bottoming out,突破底部,112,113
bull markets compared,与牛市比较,191-196
depression,萧条,22
exhaustion gaps,哀蝎性缺口,165
flexible investrient instrumients,灵活的投资工具,15
nicanung,含义,13,286
odd lotters,散户,112,113
phases,阶段,85
prospect theory,预期理论,192-193
turnover,成交量,134
bear trap,熊市陷阱,286
bear- raids,熊市袭击,109
bear-squeeze,杀空,14
”beat lhe gunl',领先一步,8,111
beduty contest metaphor,选美比赛比喻,48-50,141,142
Beharvior of Organisms (1938),《有机体的行为》(1938)64,274
belaviour,行为,242, 243
benaviourism,行为主义
basic concepts,基本概念,77
conditioning,条件,62,65
consclousness,,意识,71
erotion,情感,64
firance,金融,93,94
introspection,反省,56,58,76
Kerplunk Experiment,扑通实验,63
learning,学习,75
mechanical man,机械人,63
origins,起源,62
radical behaviourism,激进行为主义,88
bias,俯见
confimmatory bias,验证性俯见,95,135,190,287
hindsight bias,事后偏见,95,145,248,289
bifurcations,分叉
equilibrium,均衡,平衡,41- 42
meaning,含义,286
Rabert May s mystery,罗伯特·梅的秘密,41-42
staggered,交错,42 , 43
blind issues,概念股发行,29- 30,286
blow-off top,泡沫头部,286
blow-up,爆发,
bubbles,泡沫,189
Bluner,Catherine,凯瑟淋,布鲁莫,254,277
bonds,债券
breadth,广度,172
crash (1557),崩溃,崩盘,26
forecasts,预测,24
futures contracts,期货合约,164,172,204
indica tors,指标,172,179
interest rates,利率,172,179
market analogy,市场比较,172,173
moving averages,移动平均线,172
news stories,新闻消息,120,121
Notes over Bonds,长短期公债价差,172
origins,来源, 4
rate of change ( ROC),变化率,210,211
share value cormpared,与股票价值比较,6
book method,账面法,83,278
book value,面值,286
borderlinc pcrsonality disorder,临界型人格障碍,69,265,289
Borneo Tin Company,婆罗洲炼锅公司,108 - 109
Boston Globe,《波士顿环球时报》,183
Bowillard, jean-Bapliste,布亚尔,55, 56, 269
bourse,证券交易所参见 stock exchanges
meaning,含义,286
origins,起源,3-4
"Boy Plunger”,“少年投机客”,107- 109
brain,大脑,
anatomy,解剖,55- 56
breadth,广度
bonds,债券,172
coniirmation,确认,1 66
mcaning,含义,287
signals,信号,224
stocks,股票,167-168,170
breakaway gaps,突破性缺口,163,204,258
breakout,突破
bull/bear markets,牛市/熊市,171
commonality,共性,264
direction,方向,263- 264
evaluation,评估,262,263
falsefpremature,错误/早熟,205,262,264
foreign currency,外汇,160
formations,形态,263
gaps,缺口,162,163
meaning,含义,287
paric,恐慌,205,212
predictions,预测,263 - 264
rcctangles,矩形,205
stop- losses,止损,202,205
sustainability,持续性,263
trend signals,趋势信号,153, 161,263
trial,测试,264
triangles,二角形,203,204,205
vacuum,真空,201,202,203,205
volume,成交量,161,263
Bretano,Franz,布伦塔诺,57
broadening formation,发散形态,287
broker cash loans,经纪人现金贷款,32
brokers,经纪人
chaos theory,混沌理论,44
meanjng,含义,287
random walk,随机漫步,44
sales activity,推销活动,188
social standing,社会地位,132
stress,紧张,24
bubbles,泡沫
blind issues,概念股发行,29-30
Mississippi Bubble ( 1719),密西西比泡沫,29
Ponzi schenes,庞氏阴谋{骗局),184,189
short sales,卖空,189
South Sea Company,参见South Sea Bubble
warning signs,警告信号,188
bull markets,牛市
bear markets compared,与熊市比较,191,196
bubbles,参见bubbles
exbaustion gaps,衰竭性缺口,165
feediback loops,正反馈环,185- 190
flexible investment instruments,灵活的投资工具,15
global bull market (2000),全球性牛市,92
meaning,含义,13,287
udd loiters,散户,112
overconfidence,过度自信,193- 194
phases,阶段,85
turnover,换手率,134
volunme,,成交量,191
Bullish Contsensus,《好友指数》,113,116,117-118
Business Buroneters Usecl in the Accumuiattorlof Money (1910),《积累财富用经济晴雨表》, 20,24
Business Cycles (1939),《经济周期》,22
Busines Week,《商业周刊》,105,118,119,120,121,122
bullerlly effecl,蝴蝶效应
deterministir chans,确定性混沌,40
mathematics,数学,38- 40
meaning,含义,287
buying/selling,买/卖
aggressiver strong buying,进攻性/强力买进,105,113
analyst recommendaticns,分析师推荐,105,106,185,189
Bullish Consensus,,《好友指数》,113- 116,117-118
cotlgcstion arcast,密集区,262- 263
contrary cpinion,逆向思维,112,113,116,117,123- 124,287
disappoir,ted expectations,失望预期,145一146
fastest yaine ir,LUwIl ,最快的游戏, 99 -106
gemeoftiming,选择合适的时机,141- 145
gold,黄金,140- 146
intermittent skirnishing,零星冲突,219
little and big fish,小鱼和大鱼,112- 125
moving averages,移动平均线,150
musical chairs,抢座位,111, 143, 157,158, 201
newsletters,投资通讯,报刊,113,117,291
obvious to the public,对公众显而易见,118-123
cxid lotters,散户,112- 113,117,291
open interests,未平仓量,116- 117,291
reasons,原因,47,48
skilled operators,老手,109- 111
stop-loss,参见stop-losses
trend rcversal,趋势反转,261一262
trends,趋势,256- 264
uriple shock,三重打击,146
true value,真实价值,48
calculation,计算,37,154,155
Cantor,Eddie,康托尔,12
Carr,Harvey,卡尔,60
cartels,commodities,商品联盟,7
cash and carry,正向套利,168- 169,287
Cassman,Otto,卡斯曼,55,268
central banks,中央银行
Bank of England,英格兰银行,28,176,288
Federal Reserve Bank,联邦储备银行,6
intervention , 干预,124-125,173
certainty effect,确定性效应,94
chain calculations,连续计算,37,154,155
channels,通道
close price,收盘价,49
foreign currency,外汇,50,201
future cumtracls,期货合约,49
meaning,含义,287
self-fulfilment,自我实现,49,50
trend lincs,趋势线,143,157-159
chacs,混沌
butterfly effects,蝴蝶效应,38- 40
chaos reigns,混沌主宰,11,37-45
commodities,商品,10
deterministic,参见deterministic chaos
economic and financial,经济和金融,42 一45
environment,环境,11,36
Feigenbaum cascade,费根鲍姆叶栅,42,43
meaning,含义,36
self-reinforcement,自我强化,40
sinulation models,仿真模型,9,37- 40
Chapman,MaxC,小马克斯.查普曼,238
Chartists,图学家
aichemists,炼金师,83,88
anonymous fraternities,互不相识的兄弟,51
fundamental analysis,基本面分析,50,51
meaning,含义,12
Moving averages,移动平均线,150,155
past market hehaviour,市场过去的行为,10
synchronous thioking,思维同步,50
theory lacking,缺乏理论支持,87- 88
charts,图形
Babson Charts,巴布森图,20,86
bar charts,条形图,12,286
book method,账面法,83, 278
chart signals,图形信号,50-51
choice,选择,15- 16
closc price,收盘价,12-13
foreign currency,外汇,173,174,179
formations,参见formations
Japan,日本,10,83
line charts,K线图,12,290
meaning,含义,287
predictive value,预测价值,87
self-destruction,自我毁灭,50-51
self-fulfilinent,自我实现,11, 46- 51
smaller patterns,,较小的形态,161- 165
types,类型,12- 13
volume,成交量,147, 148
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME),芝加哥商品交易所,289
Churchill, Winston S,丘吉尔,217
churning,搅动,224
Clark,John Maurice,克拉克,91,276
Clausewitz,Carlvon,克劳斯维茨,101,102,219
close price,收盘价,12- 13,49,287
CMX Gold Futures,芝加哥商品交易所黄金期货, 177
cognition,认知,243
cognitive code,认知码,76
cugnitive dissonance,认知失调,94,135,193,244,287
cognitive psychology,认知心理学
basic conccpts,基本概念,73- 74,79,287
finance,金融,93,94- 95
infortmation,信息,74-75
knowledge,知识,74, 75, 79、
understanding mental processes,理解糈神过程,73-76
Cognitive Psychology (1967),《认知心理学》,75,274
COMEX,商品交易所,177
commodities,商品
cartels,联合体,联盟,7
chaos,混沌,10
C.RB Futures Index,CRB期货指数,174,175
C.RB Spot Commodity Index,CRB现货商品指数,174,175,179
foreign cinrrency,外汇,174
future contracts,期货合约,174,179,205
matket analogy,市场比较,174,175
precicus metals,贵金属,176-178
spot prices,现货价格,174
stock exchanges,股市,15- 16
volatility,波动性,174
Commodity Futures Trading Commission(CFTC),商品期货交易委员会, 110
Commodity Research Bureau (CRB),商品研究局,174,175,179
common area gaps,常规区域缺口,163
complexity,复杂性,40,129
computer trading,计算机交易
cash and carty,正向套利,169
meaning,含义,287
trading rules,交易原则,87
Wal Strect crash ( 1987),华尔街1987年的崩盘,239
confirnaLitl,验证
bteadth,广度,166
confirmatory bias,验证性偏见,95,135,190,287
indices,指数,86
volume,成交量,160- 161
Confucius,孔子,107
congestion areas,密集区
breakaway gaps,突破性缺口,163
breakout,参见breakout
buying/selling,买/卖,262- 263
ego-defensive attitudes,自我防御态度,142
mearing,含义,287
stop losses,止损,257,258,260,262
trends,趋势,146,149,256
triangles,三角形,203,262
turnover,换手率,147
uncertainty,不确定性,201
consciousness,意识,58, 65, 71
colSeIsus,舆论
Bulish Consenszus 《好友指数》,113 -116,117-118
conscnsus taigets,舆论日标127,128
false consensus effect ,错误舆论导问,94,147,188,288
overbought/oversold,超买/超卖,116
consolidation,prices,价格整固,147,170,201,202,212,227
continuation gaps,连续性缺口,163- 164
contrary opinion,逆向思维,112, 113,116,117,123- 124、 287
contrast error,对比错误,131
coInen,轧空
meaning,含义,14,287
Northern Pacific,北太平洋(公司),218
silver,白银,124
crashes,崩盘参见Pailc
Firance (1557),法国,26
frequency,频率,35
gold minc stcck (1895),金矿股票,220
historical list,历史年表,280- 282
Japan ( 1990),日本,120,122
meaning,含义,287
Mississippi Bubble (1719),密西西比泡沫,29
New York,参见Wall street
posItive feedback loops,正向反馈环,36,45
self-realizing attitudes,自我实现态度132
South Sea Bubble (1711-1720),南海公司泡沫,26,31- 32,224
tulip mania (1636),郁金香狂潮,4,26 -28,224
CRB Futures Index,CRB期货指数,174,175
CRB Spot Conmodity Index,CRB商品现货指数,174, 175,179
Credit Suisse,瑞士信贷银行,105
crecping determinism,滞后决定论,145- 146
critical value,临界值,124
crowds,人众,28,81,89,90,125
Currencies 参见foreign currency
Cuvier,Georges,居维叶,55
Dai-Ichi Mutual Life Insurance,第一互惠人寿保险公司,121
Damasio, Antonia R.,达马西奥,246
“dark forces of time and ignorance".,“时间和无知之神秘力量”,8,9,10-11,16
Darley, J. M.,达利,123
Das ist die Borse,《这就是股票市场》19
Dean Witter Reynolds,迪安,威特雷诺公问,46
death closses,死叉,87,152,153,164,204,288
decisiors,央策
collective,群体,90,137
data in same context,同一环境下的数据,127
plcasant/ nasty,高兴的!难受的,142
dependent personality disorder,依赖型人格障碍,69
depressive personality disorcer,绝塑型人格障碍,69,95,265,288
Descarles,Rene,笛卡儿,55,57,74,246,268
Descartes' Error ( 1994),《笛卡儿的错误》,246
deterministic chaos,确定性混沌
butterfly effect,蝴蝶效应,40
forecasts,预测,45
meaning,含义,288
model,模型,viii,9
Dewey,John,杜或,60
Diagnostic and Statistical martal of Mental Disorders (1994),《精神障碍诊断和统计手册》,67-70,265
diamond,钻石形,288
diffusion,扩散度,171- 172,179,288
disjunction,析取,95,288
cistribution,派发
meaning,含义,288
price signals,价格信号,85
pricenses,过程,115, 117, 220
trend reversal,趋势反转,220- 222
volume,成交量,223
Donaldson,Lufkin & Jenrelte,唐纳德森·拉天琴及简瑞特,239
double/triple tops,双重三重头部
meaning,含义,226,288
relative to total index , 相对大盘指数,1 68
signals,信号,224,226- 229
trend reversal,趋势反转,226- 229
trend violation,趋势背离,224
Dow, Charles Henry,查尔斯,道,道氏,20,83-86,117,146,147,149,151,153,166,202,217,220,226,254,257,278
Dow Jones Industrial Averages,道琼斯工业平均指数,32,33,46,47,115,150,157,212,213, 237 -238,240,278
Dow Jones Utility Average,道琼斯公用指数,120,121
Dow Theory,道氏理论,84- 86,153,160,25,258
Drew,Daniel,德鲁,14
dull markets,呆滞的市场,199-207
dynamic organization process,动态组织过程,72, 78
dynamic systems,mathematics,动态系统数学理论,9,35- 36,45
Ebhinghaus,Hermann,艾宾豪斯57,271
economic psychologists,心理经济学家,Viii
economic psychology,经济心理学
history,历史,90-91
meaning,含义,288
sxcial psychology,社会心理学,90,91
United States,美国,91-92
econonic scientists,经济科学家,vi- viii,9
economic understanding,经济理解,45
Edwards,R. D. ,爱德华,87,278
effcctive ralc,实际利率,288
efficient markets,有效市场,5,23,288
ego,自我,66,288
ego- defensive attitudes,自我防御态度
Gestalt theory,格式塔理论,94
irrationality,非理性,134
losses,损失,133- 134,141,193
meaning,含义,94,288
profit-taking,获利回吐,160
reinforcement,强化,133
rising trends,上升趋势,148
transaction slip rationalization,交易费用合理化,134,142
Ehrenfels,Christian von,克里斯蒂安·冯,厄棱费尔,70,271
Einstein,Albert,爱因斯坦,83,88
Eliot,George,,埃利奥特,237
emorians,情感,57,64,83,243
Epstein,Ira,爱泼斯坦,265
equilibrium,均衡
bifurcations,分叉,41-42
disequilibrium conditions,非均衡条件,208
functions,功能,40
intrensitive systems,不可转捩系统,42
subdued Dscillations,抑制震荡,41
errors,错误
assimitation error,同化错误,95, 133,135,286
cohtrast eror,对比错误,131
psychological phenomenon,心理现象,94一95
Euripides,欧里庇得斯,126
Euro,欧元,174
exchange rates,参见foreign currency
exhaustion,衰竭
gaps,缺口,164- 165
trends,趋势,229- 230
expectations,期望
disappointment,失望,145- 146
econontcs,经济学,92
long/short-term,长/短期,169
negative derivarive of fitst degree一阶负导数,22-23
rationality,理性,23
self-enhancement of growth,成长的自我提高,40
exposure,暴露
selective exposure,选择性暴露,95,130,133,135,293
tactics,策略,252- 253extroverts,性格外向者,67
false consensus effect错误舆论效应,94,147,188,258
Fama,Eugene, 法马,23
family,meaning,类,含义,288
Farrell,Robert J.,法雷尔,238
fats and oils,油脂,175
Fed model,美联储模型,6
fcedbeck,反馈
beauty contest metaphor,选美比赛比喻,48- 49
bull markets,牛市,185- 190
crashes,崩盘,36, 45
crowd psychology,大众心理学,90
deterministic chaos,确定性混沌,vili
false consensus effect,错误舆论效应,188
financial liquidity,金融流动性,187,188
forecasts,预测,36
negative loops,负反馈环,40
news stories,新闻消息,187
playing with house money,玩庄家的钱,186
positive loops,正反馈环,36, 37,40,42,45, 48,161,162,185-190,251,257
representativeness effect,代表性效应,186
sdles activity,,促销活动,187,188
self reinforcement,自我强化,40
self validation,自我验证,187
short sales,卖空,189
somatic market theory,身体标志理论、246
stop- losses,止损,189
technical analysis,技术分析,185
Feigenbaum cascade,费根鲍姆卟栅,42,43,288
Fidanza,Gianna,菲丹扎,247
financial behaviourists,金融行为学家
viliFinancial Times,《金融时报》,177,299-230
Fisher, lrving,费雪,21,33, 34
Fix,Paul,菲克斯,62
flags,旗形,162,202,288
fondstuffs,食品,175
Forbes Magazine,《福布斯》,255
Forecasts,预测
bonds,债券,24
deterministic chaos,确定性混沌,45
foreign currency,外汇,5,6,7
tnacrocconcmics,宏观经济学,11、20
market ahead rule,市场走在前面原则,10- 11,19- 24
true valuc,真实价值,5-8
United Srates,美国,20- 24
value,价值、5-6
foreign currency,外汇
central banks,中央银行,124- 125,173
channels,通道,50,201
charts,图形,173, 174,179
commodities,商品,174
double risk,双重风险,173
effective exchange rate,有效汇率,173, 179
Euro,欧元,174
forecasts,预测,5,6,7
forward exchange contracts,远期外汇合约,15, 173
furures contracts,期货合约,15
gold,黄金,178,199
index value, 指数价值, 173
interest rate arbitrage, 利率套利,15,174,290
interest rates, 利率, 5, 6, 15
market movemments, 市场变化,173
money market,货币市场,173
moving averages, 移动平均线,155
options,期权, 15
price signals, 价格信号, 173
rate of change ( ROC),变化率,210
speculation, 投机, 200
spXT priceS, 现货价格, 149. 155, 162,173
staircase patterns, 阶梯型形态, 149
“Superdollar" analysis“超级美元” 分析,118 119
swaps, 互换, 173
trend lines, 趋势线,159
trend rcVcrsal, 趋势反转,224, 226
true value, 真实价值。5.6.7
turnover, 换手率,147, 149
formations,形态
breakout.突破, 263
broadering forrnation, 发散形态,287
double/triple tops, 双重厂重头, 168,224, 288
flag3,旗形,162,202, 288
gaps, 参见gaps
head and shoulders, 参见head and shoulders formlation
island reversals, 岛形反转,224, 226,231, 290
key reversals. 关键反转,224, 226, 230一231, 290
meaning, 含义,87, 288
miriature versions,缩影图,207
pennants, 尖旗形, 162, 19 I
reaction formation,反向作用,192
rectangles, 矩形, 202, 205 207. 227,262, 292
trend reversal, 趋势反转,226- 231
triangles,三角形,202- 205,227,262
wedges, 楔形,224,294
forward contracts, 远期合约
market movements, 市场变化,173
money market, 货币市场,173
moving averages, 移动平均线,155
options,期权,15
price signals, 价格信号,173
rate of change (ROC),变化率,210
speculation4 投机,200
spXT prices, 现货价格,149. 155, 162. ,173
staircase pattefrns, 阶梯型形态, 149
“Superdollar" analysis“超级美元” 分析,118, 119
swaps, 互换, 173
trend lines, 趋势线, 159
trend revcrsal,趋势反转, 224, 226
true value, 真实价值,5. 6. 7
turnover, 换手率, 147, 149
fortmations,形态
breakout, 突破,263
broadening formation, 发散形态,287
double/triple tops, 双重/三重头, 168,224, 288
flngs,旗形,162, 202, 288
gaps, 参见gaps
head and shoulders,参见head and shoulders formiation
island reversals, 岛形反转, 224, 226,231, 290
key reversals, 关键反转, 224, 226, 230231, 290
meaning, 含义,87,288
miniature vetslons, 缩影图, 207
pennants,尖旗形,162, 191
reaction formation,反向作用, 192
rectangles, 矩形, 202, 205一207、 227,262, 292
trend reversal , 趋势反转,226-231
triangles, 三角形,202-205,227,262
wedges, 楔形,224,294
forward contracts,远期合约
foreign exchange, 外北交易,15, 173
Japan,日本, 10, 278
mcaning, 含义, 288
open interests, 未平仓量, 116
ongins, 起源, 3
framing,框架,94, 127,135
France, 法国
Compagnie d'Occident, 西方公司(协会),29, 30
crash (1557),崩盘,26
forward contracts, 远期合约,3
gold,黄金, 1 76
free association therapy, 自由联想疗法,65
free will, 自由意愿、58, 73
Freud, Sigmund,弗洛伊德, 65 67 , 77
78. 142. 271, 272, 273. 288 289,292, 293,294
iriction, 摩擦, 22. 289
FTSE- 100,《金融时报》100 指数, 156
Funicticnalisml School, 功能主义流派
basic concepts, 基本概念,77, 289
rivers of the mind. 精神河流,58- 59
United States, 美国,58- 61
fundamental analysis,基本面分析
chartists,图学家, 50,51
efficicnt markets, 有效市场,5
forecasts,预测,5, 6
meaning, 含义, 289
futures contracts, 期货合约
bonds, 债券, 164, 172, 204
channels, 通道, 49
collateral, 担保,14
commodities , 商品,174, 179, 205
crude nil,原油,151
foreign currency. 外汇,15
index futures,指数期货、14,168, 169,289
interest rates, 利率套利, 169
Japan, 日本, 4
long/short-term expectations,长短期预测, 169
meaning. 含义,14, 289
moving averages, 移动平均线, 155, 156
open interests, 末平仓量,116
precious metals, 贵金属,177,178,180}
short pusitions, 空头头寸,14
volumc,成交量, 149
Wall Street crash( 1929).华尔街1929年的朋盘 46-47
Galen (Claudius Galeno),加雷诺,55, 268
Galileo, Galilei, 伽利略,74
Call, Franz Joseph,高尔,55, 269
gambling,赌博,90,91, 186,192
gaps, 缺口
breakaway gaps, 突破性缺口,163. 204,258
breakout, 突破, 163,263
common area gaps, 常规区域缺口,163
continuation gaps, 连续性缺口,163 164
exhaustion gaps,衰竭性缺口,164- 165
meaning, 含义,289
resistance,阻力,163
signals,信号,202
vacuum, 真空, 163- 165
Garfield, David, 加菲尔德,265
gearing, 杠杆比率,254,289
General Theory of Em ploymnent, Interest andMoney (1936),《就业、利息和货币通论》,8, 45, 111
George I (King of England),乔治一世(英格兰国王),28
Germany, psychology, 德国心理学, 56- 58,60
Gestalt Psychology Schcol,格式塔心理学流派
basic concepts, 基本概念,78,289
conscousDeSS, 意识,71
finance,金融, 93,94
whiole nore than sumnis, 整体大于部分之和,70-72, 78
Glocenius, Rudolphus. 格罗塞尼斯,55, 268
gold, 黄金
buying/selling,买/卖,140- 146
forcign currency,外汇,178, 199
futures contracts, 期货合约,177
indices,指数,177, 229- 230
market analogy,市场比较, I 80
mines,金矿,177, 220, 230
price fixing, 价格确定, 1 76 177
production/consutmption, 生产/消费,176
spot prices,现货价格,142,143,144,153,158,177
gulderi crosses, 金叉, 87, 151, 152. 153.289
Goldman Sachs Trading Corporation (GSTC),高盛贸易公司,32,35
Granvjile, Joseph. 格兰维尔, 118, 160
greed, 贪婪,9, 35,83, 141
group behaviour, 群体行为
group dynamics, 群体动力学, 72
groupthink, 群体思维,89- 90, 128- 30
markets,市场,83, 89
habits,习惯,59-60, 64
Habsburg Empire,哈普斯堡王朝,26
Hadady Corporation,哈达迪公司,113,114
Hanilton, Wiliam Peter,哈密尔顿,19,20,21,33,84,86,278
Hanover Trust Bank,汉华信托银行182
Harley, Robert (lst Earl of Oxford),哈利,28
harmony, 和谐,166- 180
Harvard Economic Society,哈佛经济学会,21
head and shoulders formation,头肩形态参见formation
lrleaning, 含义,226,289
signals, 信号,223, 224, 229- 230,261
South Sea Bubble (1711- 1720). 南海公司泡沫, 31, 229
symmetry. 对称性,229
trend violation, 趋势破坏, 223
Wall Street crash ( 1929),1929 年的华尔街崩盘,34, 229
hedgers, 对冲者, 13, 110-111 , 289
hemline indicator, 裙边指标,87
herwart (Councillor),赫华特(参议员》,27
Hindsight,事后聪明
bias, 偏见,95,145, 248,289
feedback loops, 反馈环,185
histrionic personality disorder虚伪型人格障碍,68, 95, 265,289
Hobbes. Thomas, 霍布斯,74
Hoffer, Eric, 霍夫, 97, 191
Holland,参见Nertherlands
Hong Kong, Hang Seng index, 香港恒生指数,241, 245
Hoover, Herbert Clark (31st President)胡佛总统,21,33, 34,35
house money, 庄家的钱,186
Hovland. C.1., 霍夫兰。123
Humanistic School,人本主义流派
basic concepts,基本概念,73,79,289
life is what you make it,生活自己创造,72-73
Hume, David, 休谟,74,269
Humphrey Hawkins Report,汉弗莱,霍金斯报告,6
Hunt,Bunker,亨特,124
Id, meaning,本我,66,289
identification,确认,66,140,289
lliquid stocks,流动性差的股票
viiillogicality,不合逻辑的,76
index futures,指数期货
futures xtTacts,期货合约,14,168,169,289
meaning,含义,14,168,289
Stendard & Poor,标准普尔,114
stocks,股票,168
indicators,指标,参见signals
advance/decline line,腾落线,169-171,179,286
bonds,债券,172,179
diffusion,扩散度,171-172,179,288
hemline indicator,裙达指标,87
knowledge atitudes,知识态度,133
leading indicators,领先指标,290
new highs/new lows,新高/新低,170 -171,179,291
ROC,参见 rate of change
sentiment,情感,116,117,124,154,155,219
trend reversal,趋势反转,261
information,信息
Baudle of Waterlo,滑铁卢战役,99-101
cognitive psychology,认知心理学,74-75
discounted,消化,打折扣,20,21,24,85,161
efficient markets,有效市场,23
electronic systems,电子系统,101
flowing without abatement,未间断的传播,101,102
importance,重要性,99,101
interpretation/processing,解释/处理,101 ,102,135
knowledge attitudes,知识态度,132
Marvin in the Jungle,丛林中的马文,102-104
news,参见 neWs stores
newsletters,投资通讯,报刊,113,117,291
pattern recognition,模式识别,75,79
Zacks database,扎克斯数据库,104
Insider Report,《内部人报告》,110
Insiders,内部人
meaning,含义,290
pool manipulation,联合操纵,108- 109
reporting,报告,110,115
skilled operators,老手,109 -110
interest rates,利率
arbitrage,套利,15,174,176,290
bonds,债券,172,179
foreign currency,外汇,5,6
forward exchange contracts,远期外汇合约,15
futures contracts,期货合约,169
money market,货币市场,24,172
promissoty notes,许诺期票,181,182,190
Intemnational Association of Applied Psychology,国际应用心理学协会,89,90
lnternational Monetary Market ( MM),国际货币市场,289
Interpretation of Dreams ( 1900),《梦的解析》,67,272
intransitive systems不可转捩系统,290
Introduction to Social Psychology ( 1908),《社会心理学导论》,89,276
introspection,反省,56,58,76,290
introverts,性格内向人,67
investment horizons,投资时间,155
investment trust,Wall Street crash (1929),投资信贷,华尔街1929年的崩盘,32
invisible hand,看不见的手,4-5
Irralional Exuberance ( 2000),《非理性繁荣》,92,184
irrationality,非理性
ego-defensive attitudes,自我防御态度,134
markets,市场,8,9,11,25- 36
mood,情绪,26
prospect theory,预期理论,92,94
psychological experiments,心理实验,25-26
speculation,投机,167
stock exchange,证券交易,8,9
sunk cost falacy,沉淀成本谬误,255
island reversals,岛形反转,224,226,231,290
Italy, financial cenlre,意大利金融中心,3
J. Walter Thompson,汤普森,64
James, William,詹姆斯,58- 59,60,61,77,270,271, 272,289
Janis,Irving,詹尼斯,89,277
Jupan,日本
charts,图形,10,83
Cho- aj-mai-aki-nai rules,大米期货市场原则,4
computer trading,计算机交易,169
crash ( 1990),崩盘,120,122
forward contracts,远期合约,10,278
futures contracts,期货合约,4
rice market,稻米市场,4,10,83,278
Wal Street crash (1987),华尔街1987年的崩盘,239,241
Johnson, Matthey,约翰逊,,176
Jung, Carl, 荣格,67,272, 273
Kahneman, Daniel,卡尼曼,92 , 127,130,192,254,275,277
Kant,Immanuel,康德,74,269
Katona,George,卡托纳,91,274,277
Keene,James R.,基恩,86
key reversals,岛形反转,224,226,230-231,290
Keynes,John Maynard, 凯恩斯,7- 8,45,48- 49,111,117,141
Kidder,Peabody & Co.,凯德皮博德公司,238
knew it all along effect,早就知道效应,146
knuwledge,知识
cognitive psychology,认知心理学,74,75,79
declarative/procedural,陈述/过程,75
stock vallie,股票价值,85
knowledge attitudes,知识念度
Gestalt thcory,格式塔理论,94
information,信息,132
meaning,含义,290
momentun,动量,208
moving averages,均线,155
norms,准则,标准,132
time,时间,152- 154
trend indicators,趋势指标,133
trend violation,趋势违反,224
uncertainty,不确定性,201
Koestler, Arthur,凯斯特勒,53
Koffka,kurt,考夫卡,71,273
Kohler,Wolfgang,苛勒,71,273
Kostolany,科斯托兰尼,19
Kilpe,Oswald,屈尔佩,57,271
La Psychologie Economique ( 1902),《经济心理学》,91,276
language,语言,64,75
Larsen,E.R.,拉森,37,208
Laszio,Ervin,拉斯洛,42
L atene,B. ,拉塔内,123
Law,John,约翰罗,29
law of effect,效果律,63,64,290
law of exercise,练习律,63, 64,290
L awrence (Professor),劳伦斯,21
Le Baron,D.. 132
leading indicators,领先指标,290
learning,学习
behaviourism,行为主义,75
curves,曲线,62
language,语言,75
perception,知觉,71
reinforcement,强化,64-65
self-responsibility,自我责任,73
Lec, Stanislav,莱茨,181
Lchavy,Reuven,鲁文.李海维,104,106
Leontief, Wassily,列昂惕夫,5
let profits run,无限地赢,嫌个够,141,191
Lewin, Kurt,卢因,72,274
limited orders,有限指令,200,203,258,290
line charts,meaning K.线图,含义,12,290
tinear simulation models,线性模拟模型,40,41
liquid markets,流动性市场vilt,15,210
liquidations only,no new pxositions,只能清算,不再交易,124
liquidity,流动性,187,188
Liverroore,Jesse L austen利弗莫尔,107,109,139,163,170,
218,255-256
livestock and products,畜产品,175
Locke, John,洛克,74,268
Loeb,Gerald M. 洛布,9,88,199
London basis, meaning,伦敦基价,含义,290
London,Gnli Fxrhangf,伦敦黄金交易所,140
London Metal Exchange,伦敦金属交易所,177
long positions,多头,13,290
long- temm investrient,长期投资,7,5
Lorenz,Edward N.,洛伦兹,37- 39,42,43
losses,亏损
cgo-defensive attitudes,自我防御态度,133-134,141,193
loss aversion,亏损厌恶,193
managers,管理层,131-132
prospect theory,预期理论,92,94,192-193
realization,实现,134
road to ruin,毁灭之路,266-267
sunk cOst falacy,成本沉淀谬误,沉淀成本谬误,94,254- 255
take losses,止损,191
McDougall,William,麦克杜格尔,89,272,276
McGuire,W.J,麦主尔,131
Mackay,Charles,迈可,25,28,132,215
McNichols,Maureen,麦克尼科尔斯,104,106
macroeconomics,宏观经济学,11,20,92
Magee,John,马吉,87,278
magical thinking,奇幻思维,88,94,157,158,290
managers,losses,管理层,亏损,131,132
manipulation,操纵
insider pool,内部联营体,108- 109
large operators,主力,124
meaning,含义,290
tesponsc,响应,166
Manual of Experimental Psychology ( 1873),《实验心理学手册》,56
Marber,Brian,马勃,87,152
margin,meaning,保证金,含义,290
margin call,ealing,补交保证金,含义,290
market analogy,市场比较
bonds,债券,172,173
conmodities,商品,174,175
precious metals,贵金属,178,179- 180
stocks,股票,168,169,172,179
market movelnents,市场运动
air pockets,狂泻,46
feedback,参见feedback
foreign currency,外汇,173
invisible hand,看不见的手,4-5
prmary,主要的,85,226,230,292
randomness,随机性,vii- vill
reasons for buying and selling,买进和卖出的理由,47- 48
reversal,参见 trenid reversal
rising/falling,上升下跌,13-14,148,171,192- 196
secoridary,次要,85,154,224,293
self amplification,自我放大,251
stochastic exogenous disturbances,外界随机扰动,40,47,85
technical analysis,技术分析,vii,83
tertiary,短线,85,294
trends,参见trends
market rclations,key rules,市场关系,关健原则,179- 180
markets,市场
ahead rule,领先原则,10- 11,19-24
chaotic,参见chaos
commodities,参见commodities
economic events discounted,消化经济事件的影响,20,21,24
friction,摩擦,22
group behaviour,群体思维,83,89
irrationality,非理性,8,9,11,25 - 36
key battle,决战,219- 220
ncws,参见 news stolies
overbought /oversold,参见overhought oversold
overextended,过度扩张,208-214
vacuum,参见vacuum
Marulik,Marco,马努里克,55,268
Marvin in the Jungle,丛林中的马文,102-104
Marx,Julius (Groucho), 格罗克,马克斯,242,266
Matx,Karl Friedrich,卡尔马充思,8
Maslow,Abraham,马斯洛,72, 73,79,273,289
mass mnedia,参见 news stories
mass psychology,大众心理学,90
mathematics,数学
butterfly effect,蝴蝶效应,38-40
chain calculations,连续计算,37,154,155
dynamic systems,动态系统,9,35- 36,45
not-linear,非线性,9,40,41,45
May,Robert,罗伯特·梅,41
menbers,会员
meaning,含义,290
skilled operators,老手,110
Memories of Ettraordinary Popular Delusionsand the Madness of Croruds ( 1852), 《极度流行的幻觉和群众性癫狂回忆录》,28,
132
memory,记忆,55,75,76,78,79,145
Mendelson,Joh,门德尔松,46
mental compartments,精神隔离,94,193,290
mental illness,精神疾病 参见psychological cisorders
classification,分类,68- 70
law of exercise,练习律,64
psychoanalysis,心理分析,65,77- 78,95
Merrill Lynch,美林,238
metals,金属,174,175
Miller,George,米勒,74,274
Misissippi Bubble(1719),密西西比泡沫,29
Mitchell,Charles,米切尔,33
Mocatta & Goldamit,莫可塔,176
Momentum,动量
formula公式,208-210
knowledge attitudes,知识态度,208
meaning,含义,290
signals,信号,208, 209, 224,227
Monday morning quartering,星期一上午的指令,145
money,psychology,货币,心理学,90,91
Money Gamne (1967),《金钱游戏》,102
money market,货币市场
foreign currency,外汇,173
interest rates,利率,24,172
mealning,含义,291
money rates,货币利率,155
Morgan Stanley Capital International WorldIndex,摩根斯坦利世界资木市场指数,225
Mosekilde,E..莫斯基德,37,43,208
Motiuation and Persorality ( 1954), 《动机和人格》,73
Moustakas,Clark,克拉克:莫斯塔卡斯,72
moving averages,移动平均线
average calculation basis,均线计算基点,154,155
bonds,债券,172
buying/selling,买/卖,150
chartists,图学家,150,155
death crusses,死叉,87,152,153,164,288
distance,距离,154
foreign currency,外汇,155
futures contracts,期货合约,155, 156
gold,黄金,140
golden crosses,金义,87,151,152,153,289
hope and fear,希望和恐惧,154
knowledge attitudes,知识态度,155
meaning,含义,149-150,291
self-fufillment,自我实现,50,155
self-reinforcerent,自我强化,155, 157
trends,趋势,149-157,172
upwards/downwards reversal,向上/向下反转,151
Miller,George Elias,穆勒,57
multiplier effect,complexity,倍增效应,复杂性,40
musical chairs,抢座位(游戏》,111,143,157,158,201
Napoleon,拿破仑,99,100
narcissistic personality disorder,自恋型人格障碍,68,95,265,291
National Bureau of Economic Research,国家经济研究局,24
National City Bank,国家城市银行,33
national debt,国债,28, 29
neckline,颈线
gold mine,金矿,230
mlearnirig,含义,229,290
South Sea Bubble (1711 - 1720),南海公司泡沫,31
Wall Street crash (1929),华尔街崩盘,34
ncgative dcrivativc of first degree,一阶负导数,22-23
Neisser, Ulric, 奈瑟尔,74, 75,79, 274,287
Nclson,S.A.,纳尔逊, 86, 278
neo-classical school,新古典主义学派,4
Netherlands,荷兰
option contracts,期权合约,4
tulip mania ( 1636),郁金香狂潮,4,26-28,224
Neuhaus, E., 诺豪斯,55, 268
neural code,神经节点,76
New Concepts in Technical Trading Systemzs
{ 1978), 《技术交易系统的新概念》,87,279
new highs/new lows,新高/新低,170- 171,179,291
new investors,新投资者,142, 143, 146,189,221
new upinions,新观点,61
New York Times ,《纽约时报》,182
news stories,新闻传说
adaptive attitudes,适应态度,135,140
bonds,债券,120, 121
buying/selling,买/卖,48
feedback,反馈,187
market ahead,市场走在前面,19,118-123
newsletters,投资通讯,报刊,113,117,291
Newion,Issac (Sir),牛顿,30,149
NOB spread,NOB价差,172
Nomura Securities,野村证券,122
nonlinear simulation mnoudels,非线性模拟模型,41
Norris,Frieda,诺里斯,3
Northern Pacific,北太平洋,217,218
Norton,Eddie,诺顿,218
Notes over Bonds,长短期公债,172
NYMEX,纽约商品交易所,151, 177
objective trauma,客观伤害,288
obsessive computer personalily disorder,强迫型人格障碍,69,95,265,291
odd lotters,散户,112- 113,117,291
Official Sunmary of Izusider Trading Acliri-ties that Relate 10 Forms,了& 4, 《与表3和表4有关的内部人交易活动官方总结》,115
Olmstaed,James,詹姆斯奥姆斯特德,190
On Memory aind Reliniscence ( 350 BCE),《论记忆与回忆》,55,268
on the sidelines,观望,13
open interests,未平仓量,116- 117,291
options,期权
foreign currency,外汇,15
meaning,含义,15, 29
Netheriands,荷兰,4
open interests,未平仓量,116
speculatior,投机,15
Ome, M.T.,奥恩,133
over the counter (OTC),场外交易,177,291
overbought/oversold,超买/超卖
beauty contests,选美比赛,141,142
consensus,舆论,116
meaning,含义,291
overextended markets过分扩张市场,208-214
rate of change (ROC),变化率,209-214
sentiment,情绪,116
overccnfident behaviour,过度自信行为,95,129,193-194,290
overvaluation,高估,48
pain threshold,痛苦临界值(点),211,252
palladium,钯,176,177,178
panics,恐慌 参见crashes
breakout,突破,205,212
buying/selling,买/卖,167
definition,定义,244
key reversals,关键反转,230
psychology,心理学,248,283- 285
rate of change (RoC),变化率,212
short sales,卖空,218
South Sea Bubble (1711 - 1720),南海公司泡沫,31
symptoms,症状,244,245
trend reversals,趋势反转,262
tulip maniz (1636),郁金香狂潮,28
Wall Street ( 1907 ),华尔街(1907年),20- 21
Wall Strect ( 1929),华尔街( 1929 年),33,86,170,213
Wall Street ( 1987),华尔街 ( 1987年),213,238,239,242
paranoid personality disorder,妄想狂人格障碍,68,95,265,291
prssive-agpressive personality disorder,被动攻小型人格障碍,59-70
pattern recognition,模式识别,75,79
Pavlov, Ivan Petrovitch,巴甫洛夫,60,62,63,65,272
pennants,尖旗形,162,191
perception,知觉,感知
learning,学习,71
selective,选择性,95,130,133,135,293
Percy,Henry,珀西,99,100
persoral computers,个人电脑,87
personality disorders,人格障碍
antisocial,反社会,68
avoidant,回避型,65, 95,265,286
borderline,底线,69, 265,289
classificalion,分类,68- 70
dependent,依赖型,69
depressive,纯望型,69,95,265,288
histrionic,虚伪型,68,95,265,289
narcissistic自恋型,68,95,265,291
obsessive-compulsive,强迫型/冲动型,69,95,265,291
parhnoid,妄想型,68,95,265,291
passive. aggressive,被动攻击型,69- 70
schiznid,精神分裂型,68
schizotypal,分裂型,68
trading approaches,交易方法,265
persuasion effect,说服效应,94,123, 129,291
phobias,恐怖症,64
physical delivery,实物交割,291
Pixley & C.o.,皮兑斯利公司,176
platinim,铂,176,177, 178
Ploeg,F. van cer,普勒格,43
point and figure,点画图,291
Ponzi, charles,庞氏,181- 185,189,190
Postulates uf a Structurul Psychoiogy ( 1898),《构造心理学基本假设》,60,272
precious metals,贵金属
comtnoditics,商品,176,178
furuires contracts,期货合约,177,178,180
gold,参见gold
market analogy,市场比较,178,179- 180
mines,采矿业,177,178,180,229一230
OTC market,场外交易市场,177
silver,白银,124, 174,176,177,178
spot prices,现货价格,177
pressure index,压力指数,292
price fixing,价格确定,176- 177,292
price series,averages,参见moving average
sprice signals,参见signals
price to- earnings ratio,市盈率,6
Prices,价格
anchoring,参照点,130
breakout,参见breakout
close prices,收盘价,12- 13,49,287
consolidation,整固,147,170,201,202,212,227
psychological price,心理价位,51
turmover,换手率,147
primary trend,主要趋势,85,226,230,292
Principles of Physiological Psychology ( 1873),《生理心理学原理》,56,270
Principles of psychology ( 1890),《心理学原理》,58,271
profit- taking,获利回吐
adaptive attitudes,适庇态度,162
ego defensive attitudes,自我防御态度,160
good positions,非常幸运,141,142
meaning,含义,292
open interests,末平仓量,116
sentiment,情绪,139
short-termi sale orders,短期卖压,202
trends,趋势,139,161
turnover,换手率,229
profits,let profits run,利润,无限度地赢,141,191
project theory,投射理论,292
proection,投射,66,292
promissory notes,许诺期票,181- 182,190
prospect theory,预期理论,92,94,192,193
psychiatry,American Psychiatric Associatio,美国精神病学会,67- 70,265
psychoanalysis,心理分析
basic concepts,基本概念,77-78,292
finance,金融,93,95
identities,认同,66
inner secrets,内心秘密,65 -70
mental illness,精神疾病,65, 77-78
reductionism/ determinism,还原论和决定论,72
psychological economists,心理经济学家
vilipsychological experiments,心理实验
gaitis/ losses , 盈利/亏损,191-192
hypnosis,假设,133, 152
irrationality,非理性,25-26
Kerplunk Experiment,扑通试验,63
magical thinking,奇幻思维,157- 158
soclal companison,社会比较,123
social psychology,社会心理学,89,126-129,131
sunk costs,沉淀成本,254-255
psychology,心理学
参见psychoanalysis
American Association for Humanistic Psychol-ogy,美国人本主义心理学协会,72
ancient times,古代,55- 56
beginings,起源,55一61
behaviourism,参见behaviourism
cognitive,认知,73-76,79,94-95,287
economic,经济学,Vi,90-92,287
errors,错误,94-95
Functionalism Schocl,机能主义流派,58-61,77,289
Germany,德国,56,58,60
Gestalt school,格式塔流派,70- 72,78,93,94,289
Humanistic School,人本主义流派,72-73,79,289
Intemational Associarion of Applied Psycholo-gy,国际应用心理学协会,89,90
macroeconomics,宏观经济学,92
money,货币,90,91
panics,恐慌,崩盘,248,283-285
psychology meets finance,心理与金融结合,89-95
saving, investing and gambling,储蓄,投资和赌博,90,91
social psychology,参见 social psychology
stock exchanges,股票市场,90,91
Structuralism Sxhoul,构造主义流派,56-58,59,77,294
tineline,年表,268-277
trend,趋势,194-196,283,285
United States,美国,58-61,68 - 70,72-73
Psycholoky of Human Thoughl (1524),《人类思想心理学》,55,268
Psychology of Smart Investing ( 1992),《精明投资心理学》,265
Psychology of the Unconscious (1912),《无意识心理学》,67
pull back,回抽,292
purchasing power parity (PPP),购买力平价原则,5
puzzle boxes,魔术盒,62
pyramid scheme,金字塔方法,183,184,189
pyranidirg,金字塔形,252,254,292
Radical Empiricism,激进经验主义,64
rallics,反弹,161,292
random walk,随机漫步,vil,44,292
randomness,market movements,市场运动的随机性,vi- vili
rate of change ( ROC),变化率
bonds,债券,210,211
foreign currency,外汇,210
meaning,含义,292
overbought/oversold,超买/超卖,209,214
pain threshold,痛苦临界点,211
panic,恐慌,212
self-fulfillment,自我实现,50
stocks,股票,210
rational agents,理性人,3-11
rationality,expectations,理性预期,23
rationalization,合理化,66,292
raw industrials,原材料,175
reaction formation,反向作用,66,292
rectangles,矩形,202,205 - 207,227,262,292
regresstonl, Ineaning,回归,含义,66,292
regret theory,后悔理论,92,94,148,185,192-193,292
Reid, Thomas,里德,55,269
reinfarceinent,强化
ego-defensive attitudes ,自我防御态度,133
learning,学习,64一65
self- reinforcement,参见self-reinforcement
relative economic growth,相对经济增长,5
relative strength index,相对强弱指数,87,210
Renouvier,Charles,查尔斯雷诺维尔,58
representativeness effect,代表性效应,94,130,153, 186,293
repression,压抑,66,293
resistance,阻力
gaps,缺口,163
meaning,含义,293
price signals,价格信号,85
short-tcrm trading,短期交易,161
trerds,趋势,147-149,163,277
triangles,三角形,203,205
resonance,共振,166- 180
response,响应,166,293
reverse pyramicing,倒置二角形,252,254
Rhea,Robert,罗伯特雷亚,86,278
right-angled triangles,直角三角形,203,227
riot point,醒悟点,133
risk/loss aversion,风险/亏损厌恶,193,252
Rogers,Carl,卡尔罗杰斯,73
Rogers,Will,威尔·罗杰斯,251
Roosevelt,Franklin Delano ( 32nd President),罗斯福总统,35,235
Ross,Edward A.,罗斯,89
Rothschild,Nathan Mayer,罗斯蔡尔德,99 -101,223
Rothschild ( N.M.) & Sons Ltd. 洛希尔公司,176
Roworth,John,约翰·罗沃斯,100
rules,规律
chaos rcigns,混沌主宰,11,37,45
charts,self- fufilliment,图形自我实现,11,46-51
market is ahead,市场走在前面,10- 11,19- 24
market is irrational,市场是非理性的,11,25- 36
market relation,市场关系,179- 180
road to tuin,毁灭之路,266- 267
trading rules,交易原则,4,87
Russo,Edward,拉索,255
Samuel Montagu,萨缪尔,176
saving, investing and gambling,储蓄,投资和赌博,90,91
Sayers,Chera 塞耶,40
scalping,当日冲销,253,262,293
Schiller,Friedrich. 席勒, 81
Schizoid personality disorder, 分裂型人格障碍,68
Schoemaker, Paul, 休梅克,255
Schulz, Harry D.,舒尔茨, 166
Srhumpeter, Jnseph, 熊彼特, 22,23
Schwed, Fred, 施韦德,110
scicnce, 科学
economic sclentists, 经济科学家、vi- vii,9
hypotheses, 假设,88
mathematics, 参见mathematics
psychology, 参见psychology
Scott, Robert Falcon (Sir), 斯科特爵士,17,51
scasonal cycle, 季节性波动,293
secondary trends, 次要趋势,85. 154. 224.293
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC),证券交易委员会, 115
Securities Exchange Company, 证券交易公司,181, 182
selective exposure, 选择性暴露, 95, 130.133, 135, 293
selective perception. 选择性理解, 95. 130,133,135,293
self-actualizarion, 自我实现,73,79
self-destruction, charts, 自我毁灭图形,50 -51
self fulfillment, charts, 自我实现图形,11,46-51, 155
self- realizing attitudes, 自我实现态度,94,132, 293
self-reinforcement, 自我强化,40, 155, 157
channels, 通道, 157- 159
chaos, 混沌、40
moving averages, 移动平均线, 155, 157
trend lines,趋势线,157- 159
self-validation,自我验证,7, 187
sensation, 情感,71
sersps, 感觉,76
sentiment, 情绪
average calculation basis, 均线计算基数(点),154,155
charls, 图形, 16
indicators,指标, 116, 117, 124, 154,155,219
tnacroecononics, 宏观经济学,92
open interests, 未平仓量,116,117
overbought/oversold , 超买/超实,116
profit- taking,获利回吐, 139
time, 时间, 124
trend reversal, 趋势反转, 117, 146
Shakespeare, Williann , 莎士比亚,112
Sharp, Steven, 夏普, 105
Sharps, 夏普斯, 1 76
Shearson, Lehman, 希尔森.莱曼, 239
Shefrin, H., 谢夫林,193
Sherif, Muzafer, 谢里夫, 131
Shiler, Robert 罗伯特。希勒,47- 48.92. 184, 247
shack movements, 剧烈变化,224,226
short covertng: 空头回补,293
shnurt pusilions, 空头头寸, 13, 14,293
short sales, 卖空
bubbles,泡沫,189feedback,反馈, 189
meaning, 含义,14
panics,恐慌, 218
profit- taking, 获利回吐,202
signals, 信号参见indicators
acceleration, 加速,223, 226
accumulation, 吸筹,85
breadth,广度, 224
breakout, 突破,153, 161. 263
charts, 图形, 50-51
distribution, 派发, 85
double/triple tops, 双重/三重头部, 224,226- 229
foreign currency,外汇,173
head and shoulders formation,头肩形,223,224,229- 230, 261
momentumn 动量,208. 209, 224, 227
resistance, 阻力,85
shock movements, 剧烈变化,224,226
support, 支撑,85
trend reversat, 趋势反转,223- 233
volume,成交量,223, 226, 227,229
silver,白银,124,174,176,177,178
simulation models,模拟模型,9,37-41
Skinner, Burrhus Frederick, 斯金纳,64,65, 75, 157,273,274
small investors, 小投资者
large investors compared, 与主力比较,112- 125
add lptters, 散户,112- 113, 117, 291
Ponzi schemes, 庞氏骗局, 190
"Smith, Adam”,“亚当。史密斯”,46. 102,125
social action research, 社会行为研究, 72
soCal adjustment, 社会调整, 132
soClal comparison, 社会比较,90,95,123,130,135, 248, 293
social rentamination, 社会拼凑,90
social psychalogy,社会心理学
economic psychology,经济心理学,90,91
experinents, 实验, 89, 126- 129,131
finance, 金融,95
groupthink,群体思维, 89- 90,128- 130
playing with house money,用庄家的钱玩,186
scope, 范围,89
timeline,年表,276-277
Social Psyhology (1908),《社会心理学》,89,276
Solnik, Bruno, 鲁诺。索尔尼充,24
somatic marker thcory, 身体标志理论, 94,246,248, 293
Sorus, George, 索罗斯,255
South Africa, golden mines,南非金矿,177,220,230
South Sca Bubble (1711 1720),南海公司泡
blind issues, 慨念股发行, 30
crashes,崩盘,26. 31-32,224
head, and shoulder formation,头肩形,31, 229
neckline, 颈线,31
oversold market, 超卖市场,212, 213
Panics, 恐慌, 31
speculation, 投机, 25,28,29. 30
Sowards, J.K.,索厄德,3
speculation, 投机
bubbles, 泡沫, 30
foreign currency, 外汇, 200
irrationality,非理性, 167
large speculations,大的投机, 110 111
neaning. 含义, 14
opt1ons, 期权,15
Teverse pyramiding, 倒置金字塔,254
"The Boy Plunger,“少年投机客”,107- 100
speech, 言语,64
spot prices, 现货价格
commodities, 商品, 174
foreign currency, 外汇, 149, 155, 162,173
gold, 黄金. 142, 143, 144, 153, 158,177
spot trading, meaning, 现货交易含义,293
square, meaning, 观望, 13
staggered bifurcation, 交错分又,42,43
staircase patterns,阶梯形
foreign currency, 外汇, 149
meaning, 含义,293
trends,趋势, 148- 149, 158
Standard & Poor, 500, 标准普尔500指数,46
Gold Mines Index, 金矿指数, 177
Index Futures, 指数期货, 114
Statman, Meir, 斯塔特曼,92, 192, 193,277
Sterman, J.D., 斯特受,37, 208
stimulating factors, 刺激因素,293
stochastic exogenous disturbances,外界随机扰动, 40, 41,85
stack pxchanges. 股票交易所(市场)参见bourse
commodities,商品,15-16
irationality,非理性,8, 9
origins, 起源,3-4
psychology,心理学,90,91
skilled operators,老手,110
social standing,社会地位, 132
true value, 真实价值, 5-6
stock indices, 指数期货
fanily index,同类指数, 167,168
foreign index, 外汇指数、169
global index, 全球指数,168,169, 225
meaning, 含义, 293
national index, 全国指数,167
retative to total index , 相对大盘指数,167- 168、293
Stack Market Barometer (1922), 《证券市场晴雨表》,20,86,278
stocks, 股票
breadth,广度, 167- 168. 170
cash and carry, 正向套利, 168- 169,287
illiquid, 非流动的, viii
index arbitrage, 指数套利,169
index futures, 指数期货,168
market analogy, 市场比较, 168、 169172,179
meaning, 含义, 293
rate of change (ROC), 变化率,210
trend reversal , 趋势反转, 225
value. knowledge.知识价值,85
stop- losses, 止损
breakout, 突破, 202, 203
bull/bear markets, 牛市/熊市,165
congestionl areas, 密集区,257, 258 260.262
dull markets, 呆滞市场,201
feedbacik,反馈, 189
financial stops, 金融止损、259. 261
levels/prices,水平/价格, 258
limited orders, 有限指令, 258
meaning, 含义,294
open interests,未平仓量,116
policies, 政策, 257
thin markets,规模较小的市场,51
trailing stop, 拖尾止损,259,260
triangles,三角形,203
Wall Street crash (1987),华尔街1987年的崩盘,48, 239
Storyof the Averages (1934) 《股票指数的故事》,86
Strategy of daily Stock Market Timing
(1960),《股票市场短线操作策略》,118
Structuralism School, 构造主义流(学)派,
basic concepts,基本概念。 77, 294
reducing to the minimun , 化简到最小,56 - 58, 59
Stumpt, Carl, 卡尔斯顿夫,57
sublimation, meaning,升华,含义,66, 294
sunk cost fallacy,成本沉淀谬误,94
supcrcgo, meaning, 超我,含义, 66, 294
supply curves, 供给曲线,7
support, 支撑
meaning, 含义, 294
price signals, 价格信号,85
short- term trading, 短期交易, 161
trends,趋势, 147- 149, 227
triangles,三角形,203, 205
swaps, foreign currency,外汇互换, 173
symmetrical triangles, 对称三角形,203, 205
tapewatching.职业炒股,294
Tarde, Gabriel 塔尔德, 90, 91, 270,272, 276
technical analysis, 技术分析
feedback,反馈, 1 85
magical thinking,奇幻思维, 157-158
market movements,市场变化,vil
mearinig. 含义, 294
past market behaviour,市场过夫的行为,10
self-fulfillment,自我实现,11
timelinc, 年表,278-279
Techtical Analysis of Stock Trends ( 1948),《股票趋势的技术分析》,87, 278
tertiary trend, meaning, 短线趋势,含义,85,294
textiles and fibres, 纺织品,175
Thaler, RichardH..寨勒,92,277
thir markets,单薄市场,51, 161
Thomasius, Christian, 托马修斯, 55, 268
Thomsen, j.S.,汤姆森,43
Thordike, Edward, 桑代克, 62,63, 290
Thornton, Walter, 桑顿, 267
Time, 时间
“10 feel test”,“10步检测法”,256
"dark forces of time and ignorance",“时间和无知之神秘力量”,8,9,10- 11, 16
gamc of timing, 合适的时机,141- 145
knowledge attitudes.知识态度,152- 154
sentiment indicators,人气指标,124
tactical timing, 时机策略,252, 256
trend reversal, 趋势反转,222
Tichener, Edward Bradford, 铁钦纳, 56,60,77, 271, 289
touchy-feely syndrome,感觉综合征,94, 294
transaction slip rationalizationg, 交易费用合理化, 134, 142
trend reversal, 趋势反转
buying/selling,买/卖,261- 262
distribution,派发, 220- 222
double/triple tops, 双重三重头部, 226一229
foreign currency, 外汇, 224, 226
formations,形态, 226-231
indicators,指标, 261
island reversals, 岛形反转, 224, 226,231, 290
key reversals, 关键反转,224, 226,230 一231, 290
moving averages. 移动平均线、151
open interests, 未平仓量, 117
processest 过程,217 -222
sentimnent, 情绪, 117, 146
signals,信号,223-233
similarities, 相似性,225
time,时间,222
trends, 趋势参见 market movements
anchoring,参照点130
average,参见moving average
buying/selling,买/卖,256一264
congestion areas, 密集区, 146,149,256
counter-reaction, 反作用, 154,227, 229
disappointed expectations,失望预期,145-146
Dow Theory道氏理论,20,83- 86
entering the staircase, 趋势开始形成,139- 165
exhaustion,衰竭,229- 230
final hesitation, 最后的犹豫, 146,147
following.跟随。132
game of timing, 合适的时机,141-146
good/bad/ugly positions, 好的/坏的/糟糕的头寸,141
identification, 确认,140
indicators, 参见indicators
indices, confirmation,指数确认, 86
interruption, 中断, 152
lines,线,143. 157- 159.294
meaning, 含义, 294
new investors,新投资者,142, 143 , 146,223
Newton's first law, 牛顿第一定律, 149
primary trend , 主要趋势, 85, 226, 230,292
profit taking, 获利回吐,149, 161
psychology,心理学,194- 196, 283一285
representativeress, 代表性,153
resistance, 阻力,147-149,163. 227
sexondary trend, 次要趋势,85,154, 224,293
support, 支撑。147- 149, 227
symmetrical triangles,对称三角形,203
uncertainty,不确定性,203
violation,违背,223-224,294
volume,成交量,85, 160- 161, 223
triangles,三角形,202 205 , 227 262
true value, 真实价值,5-8, 48
Trueman, Brett,布雷特.特鲁曼,104,106
turnover. 换手率、134,147,149. 229
Tversky, Amos, 特维斯基, 92, 127,130,192,254, 275, 277
Twain, Mark, 马克。吐温,249
Uncertainty, 不确定性
dull markets, 呆滞市场, 201
triangles, 三角形,202- 205
unconscious mind.无意识思想,65,78
United States, 美国
A/D line,腾落线,169-171
COMEx. 芝加哥商品交易所, 177
Commodity Futures Trading Commission(CFTC),商品期货交易委员会,110
Commodity Research Bureau (CRB),商品研究局,174,175, 179
computer trading,计算机交易, 169,239
economic psychology,经济心理学,91 -92
Federal Reserve Bank,联邦储备银行,6
forecasts, 预测, 20)-24
Great Depression,大萧条,21 -22, 35
insiders, 内部人,290
New Deal, 新政, 35
NYMEX, 纽约商品交易所,151, 177
psychology,心理学, 58- 61,68一70,72- 73
Sccutitics and Exchange Commission ( SEC),证券交易委员会,115
Wall Street, 参见Wall Street
unpredictability, endogenous property, 不可预测性,内在性质, 40-41
usury, 高利贷,190
vacuum, 真空
breakout,突破,201, 202, 203, 205
gaps, 缺口,163- 165
meaning, 含义, 294
support/resistance,支撑/阻力, 200
Van der Beurs family,范德伯尔斯家族,3-4, 287
Vanderbit. ( ommodore. 范德比尔特,14Vicker's Weekly,《维克周刊》,110
Victims of Groupthink (1973), 《群体思维的牺牲品》, 89- 90, 277
volatility, 被动性,174,294
voLume 成交量
balance volume, 差额成交量,160
breakoul, 突破,161,263
bull marrkets, 牛市, 191
charls, 图形, 147, 148
confirmation, 确认, 160-161
dist ribution, 派发, 223
futures contracts,期货合约,149
mcaning, 含义,294
resistance/support.支撑/阻力,161
signats, 信号,223,226, 227,229
trends, 趋势,85, 160- 161,223
VcHume supports price, 有量才有价,85
Wal Street, 华尔街
Barron's,《拜伦》,23,33,86,110, 113
crash (2000), 2000年的崩盘,122- 123
Industrial Average, 工业指数,32, 33,46, 47, 85,86, 115, 150,157, 169,
170, 212, 213,237-238, 240,278
Insider Report,《内部人报告》,110
panic (1901), 1901年的恐慌, 218
panic ( 1907), 1907年的恐慌, 20-21
Railway Average, 铁路指数, 33, 85,169, 278
Stardard & Poor, 标准普尔, 46,114
Transporlation Average, 运输指数, 85,86,278
Utility Average,公用指数,120,121
Vicker's Weekly, 《维克周刊》,110
Wall Street crash ( 1929),华尔街1929年的崩盘
advance/decline line, 腾落线, 170
futures contracts, 期货合约, 46-47
head and shoulders formation,头肩形,34,229
investment trusts, 信托投资,32
ittationality,非理性,25,26, 32- 35
mnarket is ahead,市场走在前面,21,22
moving average, 移动平均线,152, 157
neckline, 颈线, 34
panic, 恐慌, 33, 86, 170, 213
prior weakening,之前弱势, 152
rate of change (ROC),变化率,211,212
trend reversal, 趋势反转,224
Wall Streel crash (1987),华尔街1987年的崩盘
advance/decline line, 腾落线,171
Black Monday, 黑色尾期 47 , 150,152, 170, 238-239
Black Thursday,黑色星期四,47,150,152
computcr trading, 计算机交易,239
consolidation,整同,46, 1 70
international markets. |川际市场, 238,239一240,241
monstcr's tracks,怪物的足迹,237-241
inoving averages, 移动平均线,47. 152,238, 241
panics, 恐慌,213, 238,239, 242
questionnaire findings, 问卷调查,23- 24,47 48,247
rate of change ( RoC).变化率、212、213
stop- osses, 止损,48,239
Wall Street Journal , 《华尔街日报》20,24,83, 86, 110, 166,226, 278
Welson, Jolir B. ,约翰·沃森、63 65, 77,272,286
Watson, Lyall, 莱恩.沃森,55
wedges, 楔形, 234. 294
Werthheimer, Max, 魏待迈,71, 78,272,273,289
Where are the Customers' Yachts, 《客户的游艇哪去了》,110
Wilder, J. Weles, 怀尔德, 87, 209, 210,279
Williams, T ennessee, 威廉斯, 99
Winner's Curse (1992}, 《赢家咒语》, 92
Wolff, Christiar von, 沃尔夫,55. 269
Wundt, W iheln Maximilian, 冯待,56,57,59,270,271,272,294
Wyckoff, Richard, 威科夫, 197
Zacks database,扎克斯数据库,104