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AC资本市场:美元暴跌后CPI下降,英镑和欧元上涨

2025-08-13 11:08:34

美国CPI低于预期,英镑兑美元迅速上涨


美国CPI为2.7%,低于预期的2.8%,尽管7月消费者价格略有上升。商品成本上升的主要原因是进口关税,但其影响主要被美国企业利润率吸收。美联储现在预计更有可能对疲软的劳动力市场结果做出反应,并从下个月开始降低利率。


消息公布后,英镑兑美元突破了下降趋势线和100日均线(黑线),达到1.35枢纽位。随着强劲的看涨势头,价格很可能收于1.35枢纽位上方,并可能很快测试1.37枢纽位。


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英镑兑美元日线图


消息公布后,我们可以看到欧元兑美元上涨,测试1.17枢纽位和下降趋势线。如果价格突破下降趋势线,很可能很快测试1.18极端摆动高点以寻找潜在阻力。


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欧元兑美元日线图


澳大利亚现金利率降至多年低点


澳大利亚现金利率为3.6%,低于之前的3.5%,与预期的3.6%相同。澳大利亚将其利率降至自2023年4月以来的最低水平,主要原因是通胀率较低。澳大利亚储备银行将其全年经济增长预期从2.1%下调至1.7%。下调增长预期的主要原因是公共需求增长低于预期。


消息公布后,澳元兑美元在0.65枢纽位和100日均线(黑线)找到支撑。回调至上升旗形可能提供足够的阻力,以减缓本月初以来的看涨势头。


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澳元兑美元日线图




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