美国PMI不及预期，经济增长放缓引发担忧

美国ISM服务业PMI录得50.1，低于预期的51.5和前值的50.8，市场对美国经济增长的担忧加剧。尽管该数据有所下滑，但仍处于扩张区间，表明通胀压力或难以持续，美联储可能将通过降息来应对。

制造业和服务业的ISM数据均低于分析师预期，企业活动放缓。同时，就业数据走弱也进一步增强了降息预期。

消息公布后，美元兑日元（USDJPY）在上升趋势线和147关键支撑位获得支撑。不过，近期价格呈现强劲的下行势头，预计将逐步减缓，或有望反弹至200日均线（蓝线）附近。

USDJPY 日线图

澳元兑美元（AUDUSD）跌破0.65关键位，目前该位置与100日均线（黑线）共同构成强阻力。此外，来自上升旗形突破的下方上升趋势线也将在价格反弹时与0.65形成共振压力，成为潜在阻力区域。

AUDUSD 日线图

瑞士CPI超预期，美元兑瑞郎走低

瑞士CPI环比为0%，虽低于前值0.2%，但高于市场预期的-0.2%，反映商品和服务价格总体保持稳定。假日套餐和航空出行价格因季节性促销而下降，服装和鞋类价格亦有回落；不过，酒店及相关住宿价格上涨，私人交通费用也有所增加。

数据公布后，美元兑瑞郎（USDCHF）自下降趋势线回落，或将测试0.8关键支撑位。整体来看，价格有望继续走低，并逼近0.79这一极端低点。

USDCHF 日线图

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