美国CPI低于预期,欧元兑美元大跌
美国核心CPI为0.2%,低于预期的0.3%,但高于前值0.1%。这一结果让市场对美联储是否会在9月降息产生了复杂反应。不过,分析师认为,若要促使美联储在年底前降息,仍需看到就业数据进一步疲软。
与此同时,CPI环比上涨至0.3%,表明关税已开始对包括食品杂货和服装在内的商品产生初步影响。
受此消息影响,欧元兑美元(EURUSD)快速跌破主要上升趋势线,价格很可能进一步跌穿1.16的关键位,并在1.15附近迎来首个重要支撑测试。
欧元兑美元日线图
同样,美元兑日元(USDJPY)也突破了一个关键下降趋势线和枢轴位。如果价格持续上行,预计会在150日均线(蓝线)和150的枢轴位遇到阻力。
美元兑日元日线图
黄金停滞不前,市场关注关税更新
黄金价格近期维持稳定,市场在观望新一轮潜在关税带来的影响。上周末,特朗普总统暗示,可能将对来自欧盟和墨西哥的进口商品征收30%的关税。
特朗普仍然希望尽快降息,这或将推动金价继续今年以来的强劲上涨。特朗普主张降息的部分理由是他声称消费价格处于低位,然而周二公布的CPI数据高于上月,这一结果削弱了他的论点。
黄金价格仍处于一个横向三角形内,走势收窄,蓄势待发。上升趋势线、3250关键位及100日均线(黑线)将构成重要支撑。
黄金兑美元(XAUUSD)图表
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