澳洲现金利率高于预期，经济不确定性上升

澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）宣布将现金利率维持在3.85%，高于此前预测的3.6%和3.85%。

在此次货币政策会议上，澳储行董事会决定将现金利率维持在3.85%，尽管通胀持续回落。自2022年通胀见顶以来，利率的上升有助于实现供需平衡，通胀已显著下降。然而，由于美国关税影响以及其他国家政策变化的不确定性依然存在，整体经济前景仍充满不确定。

消息公布后，AUDUSD受到上升趋势线上轨的阻力，价格已回落至150日简单移动平均线（黑线）和0.65枢轴位附近寻求支撑，看起来有可能很快跌破0.65枢轴位。

AUDUSD 周线图

AUDJPY 在95枢轴位和200日均线（蓝线）获得支撑后强势上涨。若价格继续上行，预计将在97枢轴位和150日均线（黑线）处遇到阻力。

AUDJPY 周线图

美国原油产量预期下调，油价上涨

由于美国原油产量预期下降以及市场对原油需求增长的预期增强，周二油价上涨至两周高点。尽管OPEC+增产以及对美国关税可能抑制需求的担忧仍在，但全球对原油的需求持续上升。由于油价下滑，美国生产商计划削减产量，预计今年美国原油产量将减少。

消息公布后，美原油（USOIL）价格大幅上涨，突破了68枢轴位和200日均线（蓝线）。价格在上升趋势线获得支撑，预计将回调至该趋势线附近寻找进一步支撑。

USOIL 周线图

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