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AC资本市场:美国PMI飙升,美元/日元触及阻力位

2025-05-07 08:05:55

美国PMI超预期,关税影响显著

美国ISM服务业PMI为51.6,高于预测值50.2和前值50.8。服务业PMI是衡量经济健康状况的重要领先指标,主要基于采购经理的观点。

4月,随着对关税和政府支出削减的不确定性减弱,服务业连续第10个月实现增长。然而,政府支出进一步削减带来的压力正在加大,裁员增加以及通胀上升对美国服务业构成挑战。

消息公布后,欧元/美元自1.13枢轴位和上升趋势线反弹。预计该汇价将再次测试1.15枢轴位的潜在阻力。


Picture1.png欧元/美元周线图

美元/日元回到下降趋势线及145枢轴位寻找阻力。此前,汇价在140枢轴位获得支撑,并多次从该水平反弹,目前看似再次准备反弹。


Picture2.png美元/日元周线图

瑞士CPI低于预期,市场担忧加剧

瑞士CPI录得0%,低于预期的0.2%。CPI反映消费者购买的商品和服务价格变动,对瑞士国家银行的货币政策具有重大影响。

导致通胀低于预期的主要因素是酒店和旅游套餐价格下降。然而,一些领域通胀的下降被服装、航空运输和食品杂货价格的上涨部分抵消。

消息发布后,美元/瑞郎自0.83枢轴位下跌,年内强劲的看跌动能有望持续。预计汇价将在不久后测试下降趋势线的潜在支撑。


Picture3.png美元/瑞郎周线图


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