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AC资本市场:美国失业率上升导致日元飙升,欧元兑美元突破阻力

2024-08-05 08:08:14



美国失业率高于预期,美元兑日元暴跌


美国失业率达到4.3%,为三年来最高水平,高于预期的和前值的4.1%。同时发布的非农就业人数从17.9万下降至11.4万,这显著增加了负面结果。


该消息可能促使美联储在9月份大幅考虑降息。据芝加哥商品交易所集团称,市场目前预计到9月底美联储降息50个基点的概率约为70%。


消息发布后,美元兑日元继续迅速突破上升楔形,本周下跌超过4%。强劲的看跌势头可能会继续,因为下一个主要支点在140。


 1.png

美元兑日元周线图


欧元兑美元在下降趋势线和1.08水平找到支撑。价格可能很快在1.09水平遇到阻力,因为最近多次在该水平遇到阻力。


 2.png

欧元兑美元周线图


瑞士CPI下降,美元兑瑞郎迅速下跌


瑞士CPI从之前的0%下降到-0.2%,负面消息不断累积。尽管本月较上月有所下降,但通胀率比去年同期高1.3%。主要下降原因是国际包裹假期、航空运输和服装。然而,住宿和杂货价格有所上涨。


消息发布后,美元兑瑞郎暴跌超过2%,价格测试0.86水平。受如此强劲的看跌势头影响,价格可能会继续下跌,并可能在去年年底需求强劲的0.8350左右找到支撑。


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美元兑瑞郎周线图






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