周四凌晨,美国三大股指在美国第三季度GDP数据大幅超出预期的利好中出现巨大震荡,三大股指均在早盘低开后大涨,但在尾盘时回吐大部分涨幅。其中道琼斯平均工业指数录得13.44点上涨,而纳指和标普500指数则分别录得小幅下跌。
对美国第三季度GDP的大幅超预期上涨,美国经济分析局(BEA)表示:本次GDP修正值主要反映了对非住宅固定投资和州地方政府支出的上调,部分抵消了对消费支出的下调。

此外,住宅投资在近两年来首次上升,增速远远超出最初预期(6.2%相对于初步估算中的3.9%)。同时,私人库存对增长的贡献为1.4个百分点,高于先前估算中的1.32个百分点,政府支出增速加快(5.5%相对于4.6%)。另一方面,消费支出增长了3.6%,略低于初步估算中的4%,但仍是自2021年第四季度以来的最大增幅。可支配个人收入在第三季度增加了1440亿美元,增幅为2.9%,较先前估算上调了482亿美元。实际可支配个人收入增长了0.1%,上调了1.1个百分点。

受此影响,用于衡量美元对一篮子货币强度的美元指数在102关口附近站住,该位置同样是美元指数的61.8%斐波那契回调线中的黄金分割线,所以具有相当分量。

XAUUSD 1h
值得交易者注意的是,在美元反弹的情况下,以美元计价的黄金(XAUUSD)并没有出现回调,反而是保持在高位震荡。该贵金属不仅继续停留在每盎司2,040美元上方,还形成了一个上升三角形走势,预示或将出现上行突破。
XAUUSD 1h
但是,考虑到本周五晚间的美国PCE通胀数据,黄金交易者应该对可能出现的更多波动性做好两全准备。
风险提示:
The information contained in this market commentary is of general nature only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You are strongly recommended to seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.
Trading margin forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors could experience losses in excess of total deposits. You do not have ownership of the underlying assets. AC Capital Market (V) Ltd is the product issuer and distributor. Please read and consider our Product Disclosure Statement and Terms and Conditions, and fully understand the risks involved before deciding to acquire any of the financial products provided by us.
The content of this market commentary is owned by AC Capital Market (V) Ltd. Any illegal reproduction of this content will result in immediate legal action.