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AC资本市场:人民币继续大跌,黄金大涨后进入盘整

2023-10-17 08:10:43



本交易日凌晨,美国三大股指均出现可观上涨,而在国际地缘政治局势恶化的关头能够对资本市场产生动能的,主要是市场对美联储11月1日利率决议上不再加息的预期。目前多家市场机构调查显示,认为不再加息的经济学家人数占到了近90%。

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XAUUSD 1H


大宗商品方面,黄金(XAUUSD)的热度出现了一定降温,但考虑到该避险资产从每盎司1,871美元一口气大涨至1,930美元后,该降温其实相当符合市场规则,也是多头交易者在第一轮大涨后获利出场的迹象。

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XAUUSD 15M


在15分钟图上,交易者会发现价格行为开始减少,并逐渐构成了一个等边三角形走势,该走势通常将带来价格突破行为,而等边三角形从理论上来说,带来的上下突破概率相当,但是在目前国际局势下,上行的概率更为显著。


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USDCNH 1D


汇市方面,美元兑人民币(USDCNH)仍然是汇市交易者的重要战场——中国上周五公布的经济数据再次低于市场预期,其中9月新人民币贷款仅为2.3万亿元人民币,低于市场预期的2.5万亿,而9月通胀则再次归零,均利空人民币,所以近期美元出现了持续的强劲反弹。




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