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ACCM:澳元暴跌,金价跌势延续

2025-11-05 11:11:08

澳联储按兵不动,澳元重挫


澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)连续第二次会议维持现金利率在3.6%不变,同时暗示下一次降息可能仍遥遥无期,因为消费者物价出现回升。受能源成本推动,澳洲CPI同比升至3.2%,高于此前的2.8%。行长米歇尔·布洛克(Michele Bullock)表示, “部分通胀压力可能仍然存在” ,尤其是在服务业领域。


消息公布后,澳元兑美元(AUDUSD)迅速下挫,价格在100小时均线(黑线)遇阻后跌破0.65关口。目前汇价有望在上升趋势线与200小时均线(蓝线)的交汇处获得支撑。MACD指标也出现背离迹象,这可能成为支撑价格企稳的额外信号。


Chart 3 (20).pngAUDUSD H1


与此同时,欧元兑澳元(EURAUD)在上升趋势线与1.76关口处获得支撑,形成“三重底”形态。此外,RSI指标仍处于超卖区间,暗示短线反弹的可能。但价格上方的200日均线与1.7750枢轴点重合,预计将成为重要阻力位。


Chart 4 (20).png

EURAUD Daily


金价跌破4000美元,跌势仍未止步


金价继续下滑,主要受贸易紧张局势缓解与美元走强影响。由于市场普遍预期美联储12月不会再度降息,美元持续走强,对黄金形成压力。


从技术面看,金价在4000美元关口及下降趋势线附近受阻后,空头动能明显增强。若价格继续下行,短期支撑可能出现在前期低点3900美元一带。


Chart 5 (3).png

XAUUSD H1



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