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AC资本市场:日本央行干预带动日元暴力反弹,黄金回归上行通道

2024-04-30 08:04:53



所有三个主要的美国股指都以涨势收盘,延续了周五的涨势。


道琼斯工业平均指数上涨147.4点,或0.39%,至38,387.06点;标准普尔500指数上涨16.19点,或0.32%,至5,116.15点;纳斯达克综合指数增加了55.18点,或0.35%,至15,983.08点。


美元在一周的开局中略显疲软,本周美联储的降息赌注仍将成为焦点,美联储政策会议和4月非农就业数据的发布将成为焦点。


通货膨胀并不完全达到他们想要的水平,但已经降至了一个程度,以至于如果劳动力市场哪怕有一点点动摇,美联储就会很快转向鸽派言论。正如一位策略分析师所说,劳动力市场是我们今年余下时间的主要关注点。


在日本银行18个月来首次进行了潜在干预之后,美元在周五的收益被回吐,日元大幅反弹。日元兑美元一度飙升了800余点,在触及160的34年低点后大幅反弹。


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USDJPY H1


当被问及当局是否进行了干预时,日本首席货币外交官拒绝置评。但是考虑到干预发生时日本处于假日,交易量相对较小,这指向了一些明显的结论。


随着美元回落,金价上涨


黄金价格连续第三个交易日上涨,并冲破每金衡盎司2,350美元的关口,响应了美元走弱和国债收益率下跌的局面。


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XAUUSD H1


如果黄金上涨超过2,350美元的水平,它将朝着2,390美元至2,400美元的阻力位发展。


美元指数短期技术概述


中长期趋势向上,但短期趋势向下,意味着动能指向下降。


 3.jpg

DXY H4


如果跌破105.414,将再次确认疲软的短期趋势。


上行方向的阻力是105.970的中轴点。




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