美国CPI上涨导致交易员认为降息的可能性很小

美国CPI为0.1%，较上月的0%上升，核心CPI为0.3%，较上月的0.2%上升。由于CPI高于预期，这对美元来说是积极的消息，因为通货膨胀持续稳步下降。在CPI结果公布后，交易员降低了对美联储在2024年大幅降息的预期。然而，掉期交易员仍然预期明年将有大约108个基点的联邦降息，这比CPI结果公布前的预期要少。 

由于这一积极消息，我们看到标普500指数（SPX500Roll）在突破4600阻力后上涨，如下图所示。最近强劲的多头势头似乎将推动价格突破2022年3月的阻力。

SPX500Roll 日线

在其他地方，USDJPY接近测试下降趋势线和146.50枢轴，如下所示。在200 SMA（黑线）和144枢轴的支撑下，我们可以看到价格很可能会很快突破下降趋势线。

USDJPY日线

英国职位空缺连续第17个月下降，就业市场陷入停滞

英国索赔人数变动为16,000，低于预测的20,300和上月的8,900，这对英镑来说是个好消息。尽管工资增长放缓，但工作空缺已减少至949,000，延续了17个月的下降趋势。

上个季度，不包括奖金的工资增长下降了7.3%；然而，它仍然超过了通货膨胀。 我们可以看到EURGBP上升；然而，由于难以突破下面显示的0.86枢轴，价格看起来有望继续下降。

EURGBP 日线

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