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【首席分析师】法国大选后的欧元:买入只是谣言 抛售才是事实?

2017-05-09 06:05:47

Windsor Brokers首席分析师Slobodan Drvenica发表评论表示,欧元在马克龙当选法国总统后升破1.10关口的辉煌昙花一现,交易者中开始出现获利了结,买入只是谣言,抛售才是事实。

尽管如此,Drvenica认为总体情绪仍保持稳健看多,欧洲央行官员的乐观发言也为这种态势提供了支撑。技术方面同样支持这一观点,当前的回撤应为为新的多头仓位做准备。

初始支撑位于1.0950水平,目前守住,随后是10日SMA的1.0923位置,强劲阻力区位于1.0900区域,4小时云图顶端1.0900/1.0815区域预计能够守住回撤。

只有低于200日SMA的1.0850/30区域的回撤将滋生出引发更深修正的看空信号。

阻力:1.0995; 1.1020; 1.1067; 1.1100

支撑:1.0950; 1.0923; 1.0900; 1.0874


EURUSD

The Euro pulled back to 1.0950 support zone in early Monday’s trading after hitting fresh six-month high at 1.1020 on opening.

Brief probe above psychological 1.1000 barrier on relief after Emmanuel Macron won French presidential election was so far short-lived, as trader took profits on larger Euro longs, on buy rumor sell fact scenario.

However, overall sentiment remains firmly bullish and additionally supported by comments from ECB official who said that recovery in the Eurozone is gaining traction.

Technical studies are bullish and supportive for further upside, with current pullback seen as positioning for fresh longs.

Initial support at 1.0950 (former two-week congestion top, reinforced by rising daily Tenkan-sen) is holding for now, followed by rising 10SMA at 1.0923, with strong support at 1.0900 zone where top of thick 4-hr cloud (1.0900/1.0815) is expected to contain pullback.

Only extended dips below 1.0850/30 (former congestion floor / 200SMA) would generate stronger bearish signal for deeper correction.

Res: 1.0995; 1.1020; 1.1067; 1.1100Sup: 1.0950; 1.0923; 1.0900; 1.0874