【首席分析师Slobodan】欧元看涨？ 关键在200日均线

欧元/美元两度反弹于1.0950受阻回撤，且汇价已经连续2个交易日以阴线收跌，但仍守稳于1.0834强劲支撑位上方，该水位也为200日均线切入位。

短期欧元/美元风险偏于走低，因周四欧洲央行（ECB）论调鸽派，且日图慢速随机指标自超买区域反转走低

欧元/美元接下来聚焦1.0834/19，以及1.0804，该水位为汇价自1.0568至1.0950涨势的38.2%回撤位，若跌破则为强劲看跌信号。

相反，只要欧元/美元守住200日均线支撑位完好，则汇价可能继续走高。

日内北京时间20:30将公布美国第一季度GDP数据，欧元/美元短期方向或可从中寻求到线索指引。

支撑位：1.0855 1.0834 1.0819 1.0804

阻力位：1.0900 1.0935 1.0950 1.1000

EURUSD

The Euro is softer on Friday following double upside rejection at 1.0950 and two consecutive days in red but is still holding above strong support at 1.0834, provided by 200SMA.Near-term risk is shifted lower after dovish ECB on Thursday and reversal of slow stochastic from overbought zone on daily chart.Focus is on 1.0834/19 pivots (200SMA / low of the week, reinforced by weekly Kijun-sen) as well as 1.0804 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.0568/1.0950 rally), violation of which is expected to generate strong bearish signal.Alternatively, the pair may hold in extended congestion while 200SMA support stays intact.Release of US GDP data due later today may give more clues about pair’s near-term direction.

Res: 1.0900; 1.0935; 1.0950; 1.1000Sup: 1.0855; 1.0834; 1.0819; 1.0804