【首席分析师Slobodan】欧元：看涨？ 只需守稳这一水位上方

法国大选第一轮投票尘埃落定后欧元维持涨势，而美元较为脆弱，因美国总统特朗普并未透露备受期待的税改计划的具体细节。

目前欧元/美元于当周高点1.0948下方盘整，但目前未能突破该水位而进一步走高。

欧元/美元上方强劲阻力位可看1.0931（自1.1298至1.0339下行趋势的61.8%回撤位），以及55周均线切入位1.0935，汇价需突破这两个阻力，方指示自1.0568以来涨势的重启，之后进一步上看1.1000阻力位。

只要欧元/美元守稳于200日均线1.0834上方，则汇价就维持看涨。

本交易日接下来市场聚焦晚些时候将公布的欧洲央行（ECB）货币政策决议。

支撑位：1.0894 1.0854 1.0834 1.0819

阻力位：1.0935 1.0948 1.1000 1.1067

EURUSD

The Euro remains bid after the first round of French election and fragile tone of the dollar, as US President Trump did not give specific details about his highly anticipated tax reform report yesterday.

The single currency is consolidating under week’s high at 1.0948, posted on Tuesday and retested yesterday, but unable to break higher so far.

Two strong barriers lay in this zone, Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1298/1.0339 descend at 1.0931 and falling weekly 55SMA (currently at 1.0935), break of which is needed to signal resumption of bull-leg from 1.0568 and expose psychological 1.1000 barrier, reinforced by weekly 100SMA.

The pair will remain bullish while above 200SMA (currently at 1.0834) with extended dips on overbought daily slow stochastic expected to find support here and keep bullish stance intact.

Today’s focus is on ECB policy meeting. The central bank is expected to at least outline plans for normalizing policy on positive economic outlook, backed by brighter business and consumer sentiment, stronger manufacturing data and political environment that showed signs of stabilizing after the first round of French election.

Res: 1.0935; 1.0948; 1.1000; 1.1067Sup: 1.0894; 1.0854; 1.0834; 1.0819