欧元/美元 首席分析师Slobodan Drvenica

上一交易日亚市盘初欧元/美元飙涨一度触及5个半月高点1.0916，之后于1.0819/1.0916区间中档盘整，上一交易日汇价收盘站上200日均线为看涨信号，加之日图呈现长上下影线的十字星，汇价自周图基准线1.0819展开强势反弹。

　　如果欧元/美元再度尝试反弹，则仍支持逢低买入，但汇价需维持在200日均线上方。

　　欧元/美元短期焦点指向1.0916高点，以及55周均线1.0934，若突破则进一步上看1.0000阻力位，该水位也为100周均线附近。

　　如果欧元/美元加速看涨，则将延伸涨势指向周图云区1.1067。

　　而如果欧元/美元下行跌破1.0835/19，则为消极信号，暗示汇价可能展开更强劲跌势。

　　支撑位：1.0849 1.0836 1.0819 1.0777

　　阻力位：1.0887 1.0916 1.0934 1.1000

EURUSD

The Euro pauses after Monday’s surge to fresh 5 ½ month high at 1.0916, consolidating around the mid-point of Monday’s 1.0819/1.0916 range. Monday’s close above 200SMA is bullish signal, along with long-tailed daily candle, formed on strong downside rejection at 1.0819 (weekly Kijun-sen). Dip-buying scenario for fresh upside attempts will remain favored while the price holds above 200SMA. Daily Tenkan-sen / Kijun-sen cross, formed after yesterday’s rally, underpins. Near-term focus is on 1.0916 high and weekly 55SMA at 1.0934, break of which would expose psychological 1.1000 barrier, also weekly 100SMA. Further bullish acceleration may extend towards weekly cloud base at 1.1067. Negative scenario requires break below 1.0835/19 (200SMA / weekly Kijun-sen) to signal stronger downside action.

Res: 1.0887; 1.0916; 1.0934; 1.1000

Sup: 1.0849; 1.0836; 1.0819; 1.0777