【首席分析师】欧元技术分析：法国大选前均看涨！

欧元技术分析：法国大选前均看涨！

本交易日欧市盘初欧元/美元飙涨至1.0747高位，已经突破关键的日图基准线阻力位1.0738，过去2个交易日汇价涨势均受限于此。

上一交易日欧元/美元整理周二的录得的强劲涨势，但受限于上述1.0738阻力位，目前支撑位于1.0700，短期看涨偏好维持不变。

与此同时，随着市场对美联储（Fed）6月升息的预期降温，美元走软，在接下来的法国大选来临前，美元下跌为欧元提供进一步支撑。

法国大选的第一轮投票结果将成为欧元走势的主要驱动力，在此结果公布前欧元都将维持买盘，并延伸涨势，因欧元/美元技术面看涨，且美元走软。

如果欧元/美元日图收盘站上基准线，则将显现看涨信号，汇价将延伸涨势指向1.0776，该水位为汇价自1.0905至1.0568跌势的61.8%回撤位。

相反，如果欧元/美元收盘跌破上述基准线，则暗示汇价将延伸盘整格局，短期风险将转为下跌。

阻力位：1.0759 1.0776 1.0800 1.0825

支撑位：1.0720 1.0700 1.0685 1.0657

EURUSD

The Euro rallied in early European trading, probing above key near-term barrier at 1.0738 (daily Kijun-sen) which capped gains in past two days.Wednesday’s consolidation of Tuesday’s strong rally was contained by former strong barrier, now support at 1.0700, keeping near-term bulls intact.Also, US dollar is weaker on lowered expectations on rate hike in June, which gives additional support to Euro, few days ahead of French election.Outcome of the first round of election will be the main driver for the single currency, which is expected to come under stronger pressure in case anti-EU candidates win on Sunday.Until then, the pair is expected to remain bid and extend gains, driven by bullish technicals and weaker dollar.Daily close above Kijun-sen would be seen as bullish signal for extension towards 1.0776 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.0905/1.0568 descend).Conversely, repeated close below Kijun-sen line would signal prolonged consolidation with near-term risk expected to shift lower.

Res: 1.0759; 1.0776; 1.0800; 1.0825Sup: 1.0720; 1.0700; 1.0685; 1.0657