【首席分析师】澳元/美元AUDUSD 澳元强烈看跌信号是什么？

上一交易日澳元/美元经过短暂整理后再度走低，并跌至200日均线0.7550下方。

本交易日澳元/美元位于自0.7677以来下行趋势的C浪，并延伸跌势至0.7529。

澳元/美元接下来可能延续疲软态势，在技术面强劲看跌的背景下，下一目标指向0.7508（100日均线切入位）支撑位，若跌破则看至0.7489。

更为重要的是，如果本交易日澳元/美元收盘跌破200日均线0.7550，则为强烈看跌信号。

与此同时，如果澳元/美元跌破0.7508/0.7489关键枢轴区域，则将延伸上述C浪至0.7472。

澳元/美元在重启跌势前或将有一段时间的整理，因日图慢速随机指标呈现超卖状态。

此外，正在向下移动的日图转换线0.7604料限制澳元/美元延伸的上行之势。

阻力位：0.7574；0.7585；0.7604；0.7618

支撑位：0.7530；0.7508；0.7489；0.7472

AUDUSD

The Aussie resumed lower after brief consolidation on Wednesday and is probing below 200SMA pivot at 0.7549 which held the action of past two days.The pair currently riding on the wave C (from 0.7677) of five-wave cycle from 0.7747 peak that reached its 100% Fibonacci expansion at 0.7530 today.The pair may extend weakness towards next supports at 0.7508 (100SMA) and 0.7489 (09 Mar trough) in strong bearish environment of technical studies, with close below 200SMA seen as strong bearish signal.Extended wave C could travel to its FE138.2% at 0.7472, on break below 0.7508/0.7489 pivots.The pair may spend some time in consolidation before resuming downtrend, as slow stochastic is oversold on daily chart.South-moving daily Tenkan-sen (0.7604) is expected to cap extended upticks.

Res: 0.7574; 0.7585; 0.7604; 0.7618Sup: 0.7530; 0.7508; 0.7489; 0.7472