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【首席分析师】欧元/美元EURUSD空头或卷土重来 或再下测1.0650

2017-04-05 07:04:50

欧元/美元基本于最近刷新的2周低位1.0650上方盘整,延续自3月27日高点1.0905以来的跌势。

欧元/美元接下来支撑位于1.0650,该水位为汇价自1.0493至1.0905涨势的61.8%斐波那契回撤位,如果收盘跌破该水位,则将形成看跌信号,届时将测试下一强劲支撑位1.0622,该水位为日图云区顶部和100日均线切入位。

目前为止欧元/美元仍维持在此前关键支撑位1.0700下方整理,该水位为日图基准线和小时图薄弱云层底部,届时欧元上行之势料完全受限于此,之后空头可能卷土重来。

如果欧元/美元有效跌破1.0650/22,则将引发空头进一步加速,从而可能跌破1.0600一线,之后料继续跌至1.0500短期关键支撑区域。届时强劲短期空头可能延迟,若汇价有效站上1.0700阻力位,则暗示进一步延续修正格局。

阻力位:1.0680;1.0700;1.0748;1.0777

支撑位:1.0650;1.0622;1.0600;1.0583


EURUSD

The Euro is trading in extended consolidation above cracked Fibo 61.8% support at 1.0650, but was so far unable to clearly break lower.The upside remains capped by falling thick hourly cloud (spanned between 1.0670 and 1.0708) which maintains the pressure for final break below 1.0650 and test of next strong supports at 1.0622 (daily cloud top / 100 SMA) and 1.0583 pivot (daily cloud base) in extension.Prevailing bearish tone favors this scenario, however, strongly oversold slow stochastic on daily chart warns of extended consolidation and possible stronger upticks.Initial resistance lies at 1.0670 and guards strong barriers at 1.0700/08 (daily Kijun-sen line / hourly cloud top), which is expected to ideally cap extended upticks.Only close above the latter would delay bears and signal stronger correction of 1.0905/1.0641 downleg.Res: 1.0670; 1.0700; 1.0708; 1.0745Sup: 1.0641; 1.0622; 1.0600; 1.0583