【首席分析师】美元兑日元－为周云顶部继续限制复苏；前景依然走弱

美元兑日元－为周云顶部继续限制复苏；前景依然走弱

在110.00支撑的反复下行阻力带来了两条连续的长尾日K线，之后产生了最初的基础信号。但是美元兑日元目前为止并未利用这一点。

复苏的尝试到目前为止还是非常有限的，近期阻力位在111.36（每周云顶部／斐波那契比率23.6%115.49/110.09 下跌）保持完整。

这保持下行风险可以再次攻击110.00牢固的区域（心理支撑／101.17/118.65反弹伴随50%的回撤），如果突破将标志着从115.49（3月10日的最高点）开始的持续下跌信号。

每日研究的坚定的利空信号支持校正情形，并预期会限制任何更强的上升信号，111.36点标志着下跌的每日转换线（111.78）前强力的障碍。

若要证实强烈的看空立场，则需要反复在每周云顶部一下收盘。

阻力：111.36;111.56; 111.78; 112.15

障碍：110.92;110.60; 110.00; 109.50

USDJPY

Initial basing signal came after repeated downside rejections at 110.00 support that left two consecutive long-tailed daily candled, but the pair so far failed to capitalize on this.

Recovery attempts were so far limited, with key near-term barrier at 111.36 (weekly cloud top / Fibo 23.6% of 115.49/110.09 fall) remaining intact.

This maintains downside risk for renewed attack at strong 110.00 zone (psychological support / 50% retracement of 101.17/118.65 rally), break of which would signal bearish continuation of the downleg from 115.49 (10 Mar high).

Firm bearish setup of daily studies favors scenario of selling on correction, with 111.36 marking strong barrier ahead of falling daily Tenkan-sen (111.78) expected to cap any stronger uptick.

Repeated close below weekly cloud top is needed to confirm strong bearish stance.Res: 111.36; 111.56; 111.78; 112.15Sup: 110.92; 110.60; 110.00; 109.50