【首席分析师】黄金－下行风险仍然存在；打破1222美元可能延伸至1216／12美元的支撑

2017-03-08 06:03:25

斯洛博丹（Slobodan Drvenica）

Windsor Brokers温莎经纪首席投资分析师

黄金－下行风险仍然存在；打破1222美元可能延伸至1216／12美元的支撑

在昨天的1236美元（上限为20sma）的上行阻力和新一轮的走软之后，黄金回到1222美元支撑（上周五的低位／50%的回调1180美元/1263美元）。这导致了周一以强烈看空的价格收市。

消极的短期研究认为市场和风险将进一步走低。每日科技的指向都不一，但都显示看跌。

最近风险将会出现在跌破1222美元以后，这会引起新的利空延伸至1216美元（2月15日更高的低位）和更多显著的支撑（斐波那契比率61.8% 1180美元／1263美元）加强了100sma。

同时，在熊市重新开始之前，价格可能会超过整合1222美元的支撑，因为慢速随机在每日图标中被夸大了。

打破日基准线标志着最近的阻力位会在1228美元。扩展上升预期会保持在20sma以下，使消极的短期结构保持完好。

阻力：1228;1238; 1243; 1250

支撑：1222;1216; 1212; 1203

GOLD

Spot Gold returned to $1222 support (last Friday’s low / 50% retracement of $1180/$1263 upleg), following yesterday’s upside rejection at $1236 (capped by 20SMA) and fresh weakness that resulted in strong bearish close on Monday.

Negative near-term studies weigh on market and risk further downside, while daily techs are mixed but show bearish alignment.

Immediate risk is seen on break below $1222 handle that would attract for fresh bearish extension towards $1216 (15 Feb higher low) and more significant support at $1212 (Fibo 61.8% of $1180/$1263) reinforced by 100SMA.

Meantime, the price may enter consolidation above $1222 support, before bears resume, as slow stochastic on daily chart is oversold.

Broken daily Kijun-sen marks immediate resistance at $1228, with extended upticks expected to remain under 20SMA (currently at $1237) to keep negative near-term structure intact.

Res: 1228; 1238; 1243; 1250Sup: 1222; 1216; 1212; 1203