油价维稳，美伊谈判即将开启

本周，随着市场评估美伊谈判及俄乌和平协议的可能性，油价保持稳定。尽管伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·哈梅内伊对与美国达成协议表示怀疑，伊朗方面仍有意重新审视一项核协议提案。如果两国达成协议，伊朗的原油出口可能将从每日30万桶增加至40万桶。

与此同时，在俄乌和平谈判持续进行之际，美国前总统特朗普表示，他尚未准备加入欧洲，对莫斯科施加新一轮制裁以促使其达成停火协议。

受此消息影响，美国原油价格突破下行趋势线和63美元水平。价格很可能上涨至下方楔形下行趋势线处进行测试，该位置也与65美元的关键点位重合，可能构成阻力。

USOILRoll 周线图

英国原油走势类似，突破了65美元关键点位。价格很可能在近期测试下方楔形的下行趋势线，寻找潜在阻力。

UKOILRoll 周线图

澳洲现金利率下调，澳元兑美元快速下跌

澳大利亚现金利率从4.1%下调至3.85%，澳洲联储（RBA）此举旨在抑制通胀。澳洲联储行长米歇尔·布洛克表示，降息的主要目的是控制通货膨胀，她有信心该目标能够实现。

消息公布后，AUDUSD跌至200日简单移动平均线（蓝线）以及上升趋势线下方进行支撑测试。如果价格获得支撑，可能很快会遇到来自下行趋势线的阻力。

AUDUSD 日线图

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