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AC资本市场:美国就业数据提振欧元兑美元,PMI持续扩张

2025-02-05 08:02:20

美国职位空缺低于预期,欧元兑美元迅速上涨

美国JOLTS职位空缺为760万,低于市场预期的801万和此前的816万。

该数据反映了当月(不包括农业行业)职位空缺的数量,是衡量消费者支出的领先指标,包括雇佣、离职和职位空缺的情况。过去一年,职位空缺减少了130万,成为市场关注的焦点。当月总离职率为3.3%,而雇佣人数略有变化,为550万,较去年同期减少32.5万。

消息公布后,欧元兑美元在下降趋势线和1.02枢轴点附近获得支撑,价格呈现强劲的上涨动能,预计很快将测试1.05枢轴点。


Picture1.png欧元兑美元 周线图

美元兑日元下跌,测试上升趋势线与155枢轴点

美元兑日元下跌,测试上升趋势线和155枢轴点。如果本周收盘跌破155枢轴点和上升趋势线,预计价格将很快下探至150。


Picture2.png美元兑日元 周线图

美国PMI持续扩张,超出预期

美国ISM制造业PMI录得50.9,高于市场预期的49.3和此前的49.3。

根据美国供应管理协会的报告,美国制造业已连续26个月扩张。新订单连续第三个月增长,扭转此前连续七个月的下降趋势。然而,尽管需求和生产上升,许多企业仍在继续裁员。

数据公布后,英镑兑美元出现强劲的上涨动能,从下降趋势线回调位置反弹,测试1.25枢轴点。预计价格将在1.25枢轴点附近遇到阻力,该点位与上升趋势线回调位置重合。


Picture3.png英镑兑美元 周线图


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