AC资本市场:黄金反弹,美元兑日元回落,市场聚焦英伟达
由于经济数据日历清淡,市场在周三英伟达财报发布前继续调整仓位。风险偏好交易占据主导,美元的回落引发能源、贵金属和加密货币的集体上涨,而美股表现则参差不齐。
美股方面,受特朗普政府政策利好的预期提振,特斯拉股价上涨。这推动纳斯达克指数上涨0.60%,标普500指数上升0.39%,而道琼斯指数则下跌0.13%。
美元指数在金融衍生品市场上下跌0.43%,跌破短期趋势线106.68,并接近106.20的支撑位。如果今晚收盘跌破106.20,可能暗示美元将进入更深的技术性回调,目标下看104.80。
美元指数(DXY)30分钟图
上周五的大幅下跌后,美元兑日元的反弹依然脆弱,因为日本央行官员暗示,12月会议仍可能加息。隔夜美元兑日元上涨0.22%,达到154.70,但今天可能跌破154.45附近的强劲上升趋势线支撑。如果收盘跌破154.45,可能触发更深的回调,目标下探151.00区域。
美元兑日元(USDJPY)1小时图
风险资产的反弹带动黄金价格隔夜上涨1.90%,至每盎司2612.00美元,为一周来的最佳表现。此次上涨改变了短期技术形态,黄金突破了2600.00至2610.00美元之间的阻力区间。黄金的RSI指标不再显示超卖,短期内可能首先瞄准50日移动均线,即2655.00美元。
黄金美元(XAUUSD)4小时图
由于本周缺乏一级经济数据发布,各类资产的波动可能继续。今日亚洲和欧洲的数据日历几乎为空,仅有今晚的美国建筑许可数据发布,且没有重要的央行官员讲话。
市场可能仍受新闻驱动的日内波动影响,但在英伟达财报发布前,整体走势或将回归“趋势为王”的原则。
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