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AC资本市场:瑞士国家银行将利率下调至1%,SPX500创下新高

2024-09-30 00:09:58

瑞士国家银行在通胀大幅下降后下调利率

瑞士国家银行(SNB)采取了高度宽松的举措,将利率下调25个基点至1%,从原来的1.25%降至1%。瑞士国家银行暗示,由于8月通胀下降至1.1%,低于预期,未来可能会有更多的加息。这主要是由于瑞士法郎走强后,进口商品和服务价格的上涨幅度远低于预期。此外,油价和电价的下降也促使通胀下行风险大于上行风险,导致此次降息。

消息传出后,0.85的枢轴点与下降趋势线结合,成为USDCHF的阻力位。预计价格将进一步下跌,测试0.84枢轴点的潜在支撑。

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USDCHF周线图

EURCHF在突破下降趋势线后,0.95的枢轴点成为阻力位。预计价格将回调至下降趋势线和0.9350枢轴点,并可能很快提供支撑。

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EURCHF周线图

 

美国失业救济申请减少,标普500指数创历史新高

美国失业救济申请为21.8万,低于预期的22.4万和之前的22.2万,正面的结果推动SPX500达到极高水平。

当周失业救济申请增加最显著的州为德克萨斯州、纽约州、加利福尼亚州和乔治亚州;而马萨诸塞州、威斯康星州和康涅狄格州的失业救济申请减少最显著。

消息发布后,SPX500创下新高,价格突破之前约5650的波动高点。价格有望继续强劲的上涨势头,向6000点迈进。

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SPX500周线图


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