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AC资本市场:加拿大通胀反弹引发加元大涨,瑞士央行鹰派发言推动瑞郎走强

2024-08-21 07:08:45



加拿大CPI大幅上升,加元兑美元大涨


加拿大CPI从之前的-0.1%上升至0.4%,虽然符合市场预期,但是仍然远高于前值。娱乐价格同比下降至低于一年前的水平,达到-0.2%。旅行服务仅上升了典型季节性增幅的一半,机票价格同比下降了2.7%。与此同时,汽油和食品价格是增长的主要推动因素,而核心通胀结果对加拿大整体经济来说依然被看做是利好。


自八月初以来,USDCAD出现了大幅下跌,且看起来这种看跌势头并没有放缓的迹象。价格正在测试1.36附近的枢轴点,200 SMA(蓝线)和下降趋势线在附近交汇,作为额外的支撑因素。


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USDCAD每日图表


EURCAD从上升趋势线反弹,价格可能很快测试1. 52附近的摆动高点。自八月中旬以来,价格表现出强劲的看涨势头;然而,价格可能将在1.52附近遇到阻力。


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EURCAD每日图表


瑞士国家银行主席发表讲话,瑞郎走强


瑞士国家银行(SNB)主席托马斯·乔丹周二发表讲话,回顾了瑞士在通胀问题上所采取的措施。乔丹提到,瑞士法郎的强势在帮助保持低通胀方面发挥了重要作用,与美国和其他欧洲国家相比,瑞士的通胀保持在较低水平。根据乔丹的说法,过去几年通胀没有超过3.5%,这使得SNB能够比欧元区其他国家更慢地加息。


USDCHF继续从下降趋势线回落,可能很快会触及0.85。价格本月初在0.85枢轴点找到了支撑;然而,看起来更可能在1月的极低水平附近0.84找到支撑。


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USDCHF每日图表






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