欧洲通胀下降,欧元兑美元大幅反弹
由于通胀缓和,欧洲消费者价格指数(CPI)初值为2.5%,低于此前的2.6%。剔除能源、食品、酒精和烟草等高波动价格的核心CPI未能达到预期,达到2.9%,高于预期的2.8%。
继上个月欧洲央行降息25个基点后,市场正关注最新结果将如何影响欧元区的利率。此外,即将举行的法国大选带来的政治不稳定和服务业通胀降温仍然是决策者关注的问题。
消息发布后,欧元兑美元在1.0750支撑区附近遇到阻力,并有望下跌至1.0675。价格大幅反弹,并可能在下降趋势线处获得支撑,该趋势线可能与1.0675支撑区重合。
欧元兑美元每日走势图
英镑兑美元在100日和200日均线以及1.2625支撑区反弹,并突破下降趋势线。如果价格很快达到1.27,将可能遇到阻力,因为本周早些时候我们在这一区间看到急剧反转。
英镑兑美元每日走势图
美国职位空缺增加,推动美元兑日元创下新高
美国职位空缺和劳动力流动调查(JOLTS)显示职位空缺为814万,高于预期的796万和此前的792万。此利好消息主要是受美国长期利率上升推动。美国汽车销量的增长也有助于职位空缺的增加,因为其销量仍高于去年的水平。然而,尽管有利好消息,自新冠疫情以来,美国新职位空缺的增长率一直在放缓。
消息发布后,美元兑日元在4月达到160的前高点后继续创下新高,并在此前高点找到进一步动能。鉴于近期看涨势头的激增,价格看起来不太可能很快回撤至160水平。
美元兑日元每日走势图
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