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AC资本市场:加拿大通胀翻倍致加元大跌,美元降温

2024-06-25 23:06:35



加拿大消费者物价指数翻倍


加拿大消费者物价指数大幅增长,达到0.6%,是预测值0.3%的两倍,并且超过之前的0.5%。随着通货膨胀的飙升,7月份降息的可能性减少,主要是由于服务价格的上涨。此外,加拿大央行的主要通胀指标年均增长率为2.85%,高于预期。


这一结果结束了连续四个月的通胀压力缓解,警告央行在7月份降息时需谨慎。5月,抵押贷款利息成本和租金也是通胀的主要推动力。


消息发布后,美元兑加元从1.36的枢轴点和上升趋势线处急剧反弹。价格看起来即将向200日简单移动平均线(蓝线)寻求潜在支撑。


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USDCAD 日图


EURCAD 在200日简单移动平均线(蓝线)、上升趋势线回调和1. 4650枢轴点处遇阻。如果价格继续下跌,可能会在1.4550水平找到支撑。


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EURCAD 日图


美国消费者信心超预期,EURUSD 大幅下跌


美国消费者信心指数为100.4,高于预期的100,但低于之前的101.3。基于当前商业状况的现状指数显著上升至141.5,高于上月的140.8。预期指数跌至80以下,通常预示着即将到来的经济衰退;然而,总体消费者信心仍保持在过去两年内的狭窄范围内。


消息发布后,EURUSD 从1.0740的价格翻转处下跌,并可能在1.07处找到支撑。如果价格继续下跌,可能会在之前需求强劲的1.06枢轴点处找到支撑。


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EURUSD 日图






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