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AC资本市场:加拿大通胀降温引发USDCAD大涨,美联储官员上调经济预期提振市场

2024-05-22 01:05:42



加拿大通胀降温,USDCAD大幅反弹


加拿大CPI为0.5%,低于之前的0.6%,而中位CPI从上个月的2.9%降至2.6%。上个月食品价格年降1.4%,为通胀降温做出了贡献显著。然而,从长期来看,自2021年4月以来,食品价格已上涨21.4%。


另一方面,全球油价上涨和房屋所有权成本可能继续成为通胀上升的主要推动力。


在数据发布后,USDCAD先是飙升,然后在上升趋势线和1.3650枢纽处遇阻后迅速回落。价格看起来可能测试1.3550枢纽作为支撑点,同时100和200移动平均线有可能交叉。


 1.png

USDCAD日图


EURCAD在一个狭窄的上升旗形内,而这个旗形又被包含在一个更大的旗形中,如下图所示。如果出现向上突破,价格有很大的空间在达到1.49之前不会遇到任何主要阻力位。


2.png 

EURCAD日图


美联储官员发布上调经济预期提振市场热情


周二,美国FOMC高层成员沃勒发表了关于经济前景和货币政策的讲话。他发表了积极的前景,提到紧缩的货币政策正在降温通胀,且实现2%的进展可能已经恢复。


此外,沃勒表示,“加息的可能性非常低”,回到2%通胀的进程可能比去年更慢。此外,他排除了通胀重新加速的可能性。


讲话后,USDJPY在楔形上边线和156水平处遇阻。最近的看涨趋势看起来可能将价格推向158附近的极端高位。


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USDJPY日图




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