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AC资本市场:欧洲央行鸽派发言引发欧元跳水,美元兑日元剑指155

2024-04-15 08:04:27



欧洲央行(ECB)的新闻发布会表达了对未来通胀预测的信心,因为供应链冲击出现逆转。此外,最近的工资数据呈现积极态势,这意味着预计欧洲央行将开始放缓其紧缩的货币政策观点。 根据通胀前景和政策传导,预计将在6月份进行降息。


欧洲央行的降息通常以25个基点的步幅进行,今年预计总计将降息75个基点。 随着这一消息,EURUSD暴跌超过1.5%,价格跌破了1.0750的支撑位,如下图所示。价格看起来有可能回调并在1.0750处遇到阻力,然后进一步下跌,突破100 SMA(黑线)。


 1.png

EURUSD 周线图


USDJPY图表显示了从极高点突破的强劲上涨势头,看起来有可能作为支撑位保持。如果价格在152的极高点附近找到支撑,我们很可能会看到价格很快测试155的水平。


2.png 

USDJPY 周线图


英国国内生产总值(GDP)下降导致GBPUSD暴跌。英国GDP从上个月的0.3%下降到0.1%,导致英镑大幅贬值兑美元。 服务业产出增长了0.1%,而生产产出则是该月GDP增长的最大贡献者,增长了1.1%。然而,建筑产出大幅下降,对整体GDP产生了较大影响。 消息发布后,GBPUSD迅速下跌,突破了1.2550的支撑位和上升趋势线。与EURUSD类似,GBPUSD价格看起来有可能回调并在1.2550处遇到阻力,该水平与先前的低点、前一次的低点收盘价以及上升趋势线相吻合。


 3.png

GBPUSD 周线图






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