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AC资本市场:加拿大通胀率降至0%引发加元大跌,澳大利亚通胀降温困难

2024-02-21 00:02:21



加拿大消费者价格指数大幅下降,低于预期,美元加元汇率上升


加拿大消费者价格指数为0%,远低于预期的0.4%。因此,随着通胀数据走弱,加拿大元面临压力增加,降息可能性提高,最早可能在四月份出现。


核心消费者价格指数为3.3%,低于上个月的3.5%;然而,加拿大央行表示将在一段时间内将利率保持在5%,以期获得更大的迹象表明通胀率将长期下降至2%。 


对加拿大经济的负面消息在下图中体现出来,因价格从上升趋势线和200 SMA(蓝线)反弹。价格正在逼近1.35的支撑区域,看起来将测试上方的上升趋势线,以寻找潜在的阻力。


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美元加元日线图


欧元加元已突破1.4550的支撑区域,很可能很快测试1.47的阻力区域。如果价格下降,很可能会在1.4550附近的摆动高点处找到支撑。


 2.png

欧元加元日线图


澳大利亚货币政策会议纪要突显通胀降温难题


澳大利亚货币政策会议纪要观察到全球通货膨胀仍然居高不下。高通胀主要是由于能源和商品价格上涨,全球航运成本增加也是一个重要因素,红海地区的冲突并未降温。 


尽管通胀率居高不下,但央行明确表示正在朝着目标前进,头条和核心通胀率开始下降。 发布后,我们可以看到澳元对美元汇率图从0.6550附近的支撑点上升。此外,价格已突破了下降趋势线,看起来很快就会达到0.66。

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澳元对美元日线图







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