AC资本市场：强势美元打压英镑，澳联储拒绝降息助力澳元

Sabir Houssain

美国ISM服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）超出预期，导致英镑兑美元（GBPUSD）暴跌

美国ISM服务业采购经理人指数为53.4，高于预期的52，并高于上月的50.6。 供应管理学会发布了另一个积极的结果，表明行业在扩张，但与就业组成部分的矛盾仍然存在。

上个月，就业组成部分下降至43.8，这与非农就业人数的强劲增长形成了明显矛盾，上周五修正后的非农就业人数增至33.3万。

与此同时，新订单从52.8上升至55，业务活动保持不变。 在美国经济积极消息发布后，GBPUSD价格迅速下跌，从下图所示的上升趋势线突破出来。此外，我们还可以看到从下降趋势线、1.26支撑水平和200天简单移动平均线（SMA）突破出来。在显示出强劲的看跌动能后，价格很可能会继续下降，很快测试1.25水平。

GBPUSD Daily

EURUSD也在消息发布后显示出看跌动能，已经突破了下降楔形图和100天SMA。在显示出1.0750附近的强劲动量后，价格很可能很快测试1.0650水平。

EURUSD Daily

澳大利亚现金利率受到高通胀的关注

澳大利亚现金利率保持在4.35%，较高的利率创造了总需求和总供给之间更大的平衡。尽管上个季度通胀有所放缓，但澳洲联储（RBA）对通胀仍表示关注，核心通胀率（L（r））仍高达4.1%。全球供应链的中断以及国内对商品需求的放缓有助于降低商品价格通胀，但是RBA仍然警惕通胀风险。 

AUDUSD Daily

发布后，澳元兑美元（AUDUSD）上涨，重新测试了0.65的支撑位和100天SMA，看起来在最近的迅速看跌动能后仍然保持阻力。如果价格继续下跌，下一个重要的潜在支撑区域将是0.6350。

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