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AC资本市场:德国商业气候高度悲观,未达预期

2023-12-19 04:12:17


德国Ifo商业气候指数为86.4,低于预期的87.6和上月的87.3,这对欧元来说是一个负面的结果。尽管经济学家预测出现了更多关于政府预算担忧的不确定性,但他们预测信心会增强。欧洲央行在周四将利率维持不变后可能减轻了一些担忧,但它也暗示借款成本将变得越来越具挑战性。

下面的EURUSD图表显示,欧元在周一发布后保持相对稳定。价格似乎有望在周五的内部条形图形成后回撤,并可能重新测试1.1的支撑位。如果价格突破内部条形图的低点,有可能测试1.08水平和上升趋势线,作为潜在的支撑位。

 1.png

EURUSD Daily

在其他地方,EURJPY最近再次在本月第二次在200 SMA和155水平找到支撑。价格看起来准备突破下降趋势线,并有可能测试157.70的支撑位。

 2.png

EURJPY Daily


法国制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)创下三年多来的最大下滑 

法国制造业采购经理人指数为42,远低于预测的43.3和上月的42.9,这对法国经济而言是负面的消息。自年中以来,下滑趋势持续,九月份私营部门产出迅速减少。此外,由于出口市场的减速加剧,新订单下降,推高了生产积压。

发布后,EURGBP意外上涨,测试了100天简单移动平均线(SMA)的阻力,看起来有望很快触及200天SMA以及0.8650的支撑位。如果价格能够收于200天SMA之上,我们可能会看到回撤以测试上升趋势线的阻力。

 3.png

EURGBP Daily




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