AC资本市场:美元进一步反弹、黄金迎难而上挑战高位阻力位
周四凌晨,美国三大股指继续回吐涨幅,其中道琼斯平均工业指数收跌90.79点(-0.25%)、标普500指数收跌19.75点(-0.43%),而纳斯达克100指数则领跌,录得83.79点跌幅(-0.59%)。从价格走势判断,本轮回吐主要来自技术性回吐,因为在夜间公布的基本面数据实际上颇为利好——ADP私营企业就业数据继续降温,有助于市场继续乐观计价美联储提前降息。
ADP就业数据,即小非农,显示11月新增就业人数为10.3万,低于10月所录得的10.6万,更是低于市场所预期的13万。而就在ADP就业数据公布的前一天,美国职位空缺(JOLTS)数量大跌至两年来最低水平,再次预示劳工市场进一步降温。

XAUUSD 1h
大宗商品方面,黄金(XAUUSD)在美元进一步反弹的前提下逆流而上,在每盎司2,019美元附近找到临时支撑位,反弹至2,032美元阻力位下方。按照目前的价格行为推断,黄金在周二大幅回吐后触碰到的2,009位置与目前的2,026位置之间已经形成了一个上升三角形走势,预示技术面上存在一定上行突破可能,但是交易者应为本周五的非农数据可能带来的较大波动性进行准备。

USDCNH 1h
汇市方面,美元兑人民币(USDCNH)同样出现了反弹,该货币对在第二个上升三角走势上行突破之后,目前已经来到7.1750阻力位下方。如果周五晚间的就业数据出现利好,那么美元可能借势突破这一阻力位。
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