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AC资本市场:美国PMI连续11个月增长,导致欧元兑美元下跌

2023-12-06 02:12:32

美国PMI为52.7,高于52的预测值,也高于上个月的51.8。超出预期的数据显著强化了美元对大多数主要货币的影响,包括欧元兑美元。总体而言,美国PMI导致了15个行业报告增长,包括农业、医疗保健、房地产、交通和金融。最值得注意的是,服务行业在过去的42个月中有41个月扩张。


因此,EURUSD在发布后迅速下跌,如下所示。价格在突破200日简单移动平均线和1.08支撑位时展现出强劲的动能。 值得关注的未来主要支撑水平是1.0750支撑位,同时与100日简单移动平均线和38.2%的斐波那契回撤有交汇。

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EURUSD 日线图


另外,GBPUSD突破了上升楔形和1.26的支撑位,如下所示。一个非常重要的支撑水平是1.25支撑位,它与100日和200日简单移动平均线相交。


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GBPUSD 日线图


澳大利亚现金利率在上个月25个基点的提高后保持稳定,澳大利亚现金利率于周二为4.35%,此举旨在将通货膨胀率提高到2%至3%的目标范围,看起来越来越具有挑战性。尽管最近的增长速度低于预期,但澳大利亚经济在今年前六个月的增长超过了预期。


随着房价持续快速上涨,通货膨胀的风险增加,导致米歇尔·布洛克行长表示可能很快需要提高利率。尽管结果与预测一致,但由于美国PMI的积极消息,AUDUSD在发布后下跌超过1%。价格已突破上升楔形,现在似乎准备测试0.65支撑位和100日简单移动平均线。


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AUDUSD 日线图




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