AC资本市场：黄金突破历史新高后回落，美元兑人民币反弹

周一凌晨，美国三大股指终于出现小幅回调，这也是自三大股指在连续录得多周大涨后，罕见的一次回落，而就在11月，三大股指分别创下了2022年下旬以来的最佳月化涨幅，目前的历史最高水平已近在咫尺。

大宗商品市场方面，在周一刚刚创下历史新高的黄金（XAUUSD），在冲刺至每盎司2,035美元之后出现显著回落，目前已经跌破2,032.90美元的支撑位，但随后又出现了小幅反弹，现在停留在2,032.90美元的阻力位下方。

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推动黄金迅速上涨的主要原因，在于市场对美联储提前降息的预期迅速发酵，而以美元计价的黄金自然成为了美元出现贬值之后的一大受益资产。这一现象不仅存在于黄金等以美元计价的传统资产中，就连虚拟货币市场也在同期出现了大涨，其中比特币冲破41,000美元大关。

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汇市方面，美元兑人民币（USDCNH）在两次进入三角走势并突破后，现在再次回归到第二个上升三角走势当中。考虑到美元在周一美股盘间出现一定程度反弹，加上技术面的上行突破概率较为显著，交易美元兑人民币的交易者应注意潜在利好美元的经济数据，比如本周五的非农数据，如果就业数据高于市场预期，那么美元或将迎来更多反弹动能，届时将利空人民币和黄金。

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