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AC资本市场:澳联储加息致澳元大跌,加拿大PMI不及预期引发加元下行

2023-11-08 00:11:46

澳大利亚储备银行加息,导致澳元兑美元汇率下跌超过1%


澳大利亚储备银行发布了4.35%的现金利率,高于上个月的4.10%。尽管通常较高的现金利率对货币有积极影响,但我们看到市场反应出乎意料,尽管结果符合预期。


市场反应令专家感到惊讶,因为预计澳洲储备银行将加息,同时保持未来加息可能性开放。 因此,发布后不久,我们看到澳元兑美元汇率大幅下跌。本周的急剧下跌始于图表下方的0.65支点和100 SMA(黑线)附近的阻力。此外,我们可以看到价格回撤,可能会测试下降楔形上趋势线和0.6380区域,这可能成为支撑。

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澳元兑美元(AUDUSD)日线图。


EUR兑澳元(EURAUD)也有类似的相关性,因为价格在支撑位上升,现在看来可能会测试趋势线,作为潜在的阻力。


 2.png

欧元兑澳元(EURAUD)日线图。


加拿大Ivey PMI低于预期,推动美元兑加元汇率(USDCAD)迅速上升


周一,加拿大Ivey PMI为53.4,低于54的预测,引发市场担忧,使美元兑加元汇率上涨。50以上的水平表示行业扩张,而结果高于上个月。


然而,结果未能超越预期,就业测量指标下降。 下图显示,自周一发布以来,美元兑加元汇率上涨了超过0.8%。现在价格触及楔形下趋势线,看起来可能会提供阻力,附近还有1.3820的支点区域。


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美元兑加元(USDCAD)日线图。




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