德国消费者价格指数降至自2021年以来的最低水平,致欧元兑美元汇率大跌
德国初步消费者价格指数为0%,低于0.2%的预测,低于上个月的0.3%。随着欧洲最大经济体出现疲软的结果,创纪录的利率上调效应开始显现。
EURUSD H1
在这一结果发布后,欧洲央行副行长路易斯·德·金多斯表示:“最近的指标表明短期内经济疲软持续存在。” 德国经济下滑主要是由于消费支出减少和出口需求疲弱所致。 我们可以从上图中看到,欧元兑美元兑换率在发布后急剧下跌。下跌在图表中由空头交易量的激增,并跌破约1.0590支撑水平。目前价格得到一个趋势线的支撑,该趋势线已出现三个重要的低点。
EURGBP H1
另外,我们可以看到欧元兑英镑的价格也呈现出类似的相关性,从上图中可以看出,价格从上升的旗帜突破后急剧下跌。随后,价格在一个具有三个之前低点的趋势线处找到了支撑。
日元在日本银行政策利率决定令人失望后下跌
尽管日本银行决定将政策利率保持在-0.10%,与预测一致,但对收益曲线控制(YCC)框架进行了重大调整。
USDJPY Daily
日本银行决定终止每日固定利率债券购买,并将让市场决定。 因此,我们可以看到美元兑日元汇率在发布后迅速上涨,突破了150的阻力区域并测试了下图所示的上升旗帜的上升趋势线。值得注意的是图表中显示的2022年10月的重要高点,因此价格可能很快在这个区域找到阻力。
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