AC资本市场:黄金突破2,000大关,美联储、英国央行决议倒计时
黄金价格(XAU/USD)在周一的亚洲早间交易时段迅速上升,突破了每盎司2,000美元的心理大关,本次上涨的主要原因是继续升高的地缘政治紧张局势,显著增加了对避险资产的需求。
与此同时,美元指数(DXY),即美元对一篮子全球货币强度的指数,从106.87回撤后,就在106.60左右徘徊。尽管上周五公布的美国经济数据超出市场预期,但并未提振美元,反而支撑了以美元计价的黄金价格。

XAUUSD 1h
美国经济分析局在上周五披露,美联储偏好的通胀指标——核心个人消费支出价格指数(PCE)在9月份同比上涨3.7%,较上次3.8%的读数略有下降,符合市场预期。就月度数据而言,该指数从之前的0.1%上升至0.3%,也与市场共识相符。与此同时,9月份的PCE价格指数按年计算上涨了3.4%,符合市场预期。

XAUUSD 15m
市场普遍预计,美联储将在周四的会议结束时保持利率不变。然而,美国维持低利率的现行政策(将利率保持在高位)可能会限制黄金价格的上涨潜力。值得注意的是,升高的利率会增加持有非收益资产的机会成本,这暗示了对贵金属的不利前景。
展望未来,黄金交易者正在关注周二公布的美国消费者信心数据。周三,美联储政策会议结果将公布,市场预计央行将保持利率不变。这些事件可能为黄金价格提供明确的方向。
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