AC资本市场:澳就业数据引发澳元大跌,英国零售数据低于预期
澳大利亚就业变动大幅下降,远低于预测,迅速推动澳元对美元汇率下跌
澳大利亚十月份的就业变动结果为6.7K,远低于20.6K的预测和上个月的63.3K。此外,失业率从9月份的3.7%下降到本月的3.6%。
就业下降的主要原因是较少的澳大利亚人在积极寻找工作。根据澳大利亚统计局(ABS)的数据,上个月仅新增了6,700个工作岗位,而市场需要约37,000个工作岗位来维持失业率稳定。尽管没有新的工作机会,但失业率下降了,因为参与率迅速从67%下降到66.7%。
就业人口比率保持在64.4%,就业人数增加到超过1410万。从下图可以看出,澳元兑美元汇率在周四的发布后下跌。
AUDUSD 每日图表
欧元兑澳元汇率在周四的发布后大幅上升,EURAUD 涨幅超过0.8%,如下图所示。

EURAUD 每日图表
英国零售销售下降了三倍,因消费者为节日期间储蓄
英国零售销售下降了0.9%,大幅低于-0.3%的预测和上个月的0.4%。导致这一大幅下降的主要原因是食品、燃料、能源和抵押贷款价格上涨。 在生活成本危机持续的情况下,英国消费者正在为节日期间做准备,这也是零售销售下降的一个重要原因。
季度销售量在2023年9月下降了0.8%,这是GBPUSD急剧下跌的一个重要因素,如下图所示。

GBPUSD 每日图表
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