AC资本市场：尴尬PCE通胀未能创造新趋势，非农数据或将重燃动能

周四晚间，美国经济分析局（BEA）公布了7月PCE指数，该指数实际数值与市场预期完全相符（核心增幅4.2%、总体增幅3.3%），所以并未对美国股市带来明显方向，导致道指和标普500指数小幅收跌（其中道指终结四连阳），但纳斯达克指数却倔强上行，录得了小幅增长。

所谓PCE指数，即个人消费支出物价指数，是美联储更为青睐的通胀指标，因为PCE指数所衡量的是全美范围内所有家庭的消费支出情况，而劳工统计局（BLS）所衡量的则只是城市地区。

受此影响，纳指（NAS100）和标普500指数（SPX500）分别继续保持上行态势，其中NAS100在突破15,079阻力位后仍然显得充满活力，而SPX500则收复了4,500大关。

SPX500 1h

进入本交易日，全球投资者将重点关注的将会是澳洲东岸时间22:30的美国非农业就业人口数据（NFP）。目前市场预期7月数据（17万）将小幅低于前值（18.7万），如果实际情况符合预期，那么汇市和股市或将再度面临模棱两可的处境。

NAS100 4h

但是，如果实际数据高于预期，那么美元或将再次获得上行动能，而股市或面临承压下行。反之，美元可能面临进一步回调（美元指数退向102），而三大股指则有望在9月的第一个交易日录得开门红（上涨）。

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