AC资本市场:美国消费者信心指数大跌,华尔街大涨三连阳
周三凌晨,美国发布的消费者信心指数(CB Consumer Confidence)大幅低于预期(116),仅达到了106.1,并且也低于7月前值的114。在这份报告的背后,是各个年龄组消费者信心的下降。
在收入超过10万美元和低于5万美元的家庭中,美国消费者的最悲观情绪最为明显。然而,在5万美元至10万美元的中等收入范围内,信心相对稳定。
对此,统计该数据的世界大型企业联合会(Conference Board)的首席经济学家Dana Peterson表示:“2023年8月,消费者信心下降,终止了6月和7月连续上升的势头。对当前情况的评估在8月份出现下滑,主要是因为人们对就业状况的乐观情绪减退:说就业机会丰富的消费者减少了,认为就业困难的消费者增加了。”

XAUUSD
在消费者信心数据发布后不久,黄金价格迅速从1921.21上涨至1934.20,如上图所示。我们可以看到,在新闻发布的一个小时内,XAU/USD上涨了0.68%,投资者在不确定时期越来越倾向于寻求避险资产。
与消费者信心数据发布同时,美国的职位空缺数据从917万下降至883万。在新闻发布的一个小时内,EURUSD从1.0803上涨至1.0828,涨幅为0.23%。

EURUSD
有17.2%的参调者表示,企业状况“糟糕”,高于7月份的16.2%。劳动力市场表现出负面结果,40.3%则认为就业机会“丰富”,比7月份减少了3.4%。此外,在短期劳动力市场方面,有18%的人预期就业机会减少,高于7月份的15.6%。
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