原油瞄准80美元大关，欧派克集团继续减产

美国三大股指在周五公布的疲软劳工数据后出现下跌，本次出炉的6月非农业就业人口为20.9万人，低于市场所预期的22.5万人，以及5月的30.6万人。此外，失业率继续保持在低位的3.6%。受此影响，市场在复杂的环境中采取了避险行为，导致股市和美元普遍走跌。

USOIL 1h

在美元下行带来的机会中，美国西德克萨斯原油（USOIL）以及英国布伦特原油（UKOIL）双双录得大幅上涨，并创下9周新高。在4小时图上，USOIL在收复每桶71.6美元阻力位之后，又于周五冲高至每桶74美元阻力位。

USOIL 4h

近期大宗市场交易者所需要思考的两个问题也变得清晰：1），美联储在7月和9月的两次利率决议上究竟将采取什么行动？2），欧派克集团在近期的减产是否会成为USOIL挑战每桶80美元大关的关键催化剂？

根据美国能源信息署（EIA）最新预测可见，USOIL价格在2023下半年将面临一个岔路口——究竟是大幅反弹至120美元，或是继续下行至40美元附近？

在全球经济前景并不明朗的今天，技术分析或许是交易者最好的风向标。

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